Abel to Yzerman
GDT - Game 27: Red Wings (12-9-5) at Flames (9-11-4) 9:30
by Jeff OKWingnut on 03/13/13 at 08:52 AM ET
Comments (39)
GDT Plus today, bitches. There is Trouble in Paradise, much more than the diggers are letting on. It is "Huge," Babcock said. "It's not even the trip, it's tomorrow. We got a game tomorrow. We've got one out of a possible four points here lately. We need to get back on the winning side of things." Yea Mike, and you better friggin find some urgency.
This three game swing, tonight at basement dwellar CGY, Friday at EDM, and Saturday at VAN, could very well determine if the playoff streak continues. Let me explain.
I know, we are only two games past the half-way point and I'm sounding general quarters. WTF you say, DET are in 7th place in the West (but have played 1 more game than others).
Let me fill in some blanks. DET have played 26 games (12-9-5 - .558%); 9-4-3 at home (.656%), and 3-5-2 (.400%) on the road. DET have 14 road games left but only 8 at home. That should scare the dickens out of everyone, but I've gone a little further.
Here I hazard an assumption, and it is slightly imperfect. I looked at the last three seasons to see the points registered by the #8 team. The sample is skewed because in the previous three years, competition was not limited to conference foes; still it is a good size sample.
Let's go with 95 points being the minimum. Adjusted to a 48 game schedule, that means the target number is 55.603 pts. (95/164 = .5792% * 96).
Right now the Wings sit at 29 points, so they need 26 more to get to 55 (a friendly nod). Not too difficult with 22 games left, right?
Wrong. DET needs 26/44 = .5909 (almost 60%). In a home heavy schedule to date, DET are earning just .558% of points (and only .400% on the road).
The Wings need to get hot, and in a friggin hurry. Nothing in DET's numbers suggest a good result; but that is why they play the game.
DET: 26 GP, 12-9-5, 29 pts, (7 in Conf, 3 in Central), 68 GF, 66 GA, Last 10 5-3-2, OT 1
CGY: 24 GP, 9-11-4, 22 pts, (15 in Conf, 5 in Northwest), 64 GF, 82 GA, Last 10 4-5-1, LOST 3
DET ROAD: 3-5-2 (19)
CGY HOME: 6-5-2 (22)
DET: 0.558 point% (17), 2.54 G/G (19), 2.46 GA/G (9), 1.25 5-5 F/A (6), 14.4 PP% (25), 79.0 PK% (20), 29.5 S/G (13), 28.3 SA/G (13), 51.9 FO% (6)
CGY: 0.458 point% (26), 2.67 G/G (15), 3.29 GA/G (28), 0.72 5-5 F/A (28), 19.3 PP% (11), 77.6 PK% (27), 28.2 S/G (19), 28.2 SA/G (12), 47.3 FO% (25)
Goal Differential/Game:
DET = +0.08
CGY = -0.62
PLAYER STATS:
POS Player GP G A PTS +/- ATOI
L Henrik Zetterberg 26 6 21 27 2 20:46
C Pavel Datsyuk 25 8 17 25 9 20:13
C Damien Brunner 26 10 9 19 -2 17:08
D Niklas Kronwall 26 3 15 18 -5 24:05
C Johan Franzen 19 5 6 11 4 18:33
C Valtteri Filppula 19 4 6 10 3 17:40
D Jonathan Ericsson 23 2 8 10 2 21:25
D Jakub Kindl 19 3 4 7 11 17:34
C Tomas Tatar 18 4 3 7 2 11:22
R Daniel Cleary 26 5 2 7 -4 17:07
R Patrick Eaves 18 1 5 6 5 10:16
C Joakim Andersson 16 3 3 6 5 10:21
L Drew Miller 26 2 3 5 0 13:32
R Jordin Tootoo 26 2 2 4 2 9:25
D Brian Lashoff 21 1 3 4 -3 18:15
C Cory Emmerton 26 2 1 3 1 10:46
R Todd Bertuzzi 7 2 1 3 3 15:31
D Ian White 15 1 1 2 -1 20:29
L Justin Abdelkader 26 1 1 2 -3 14:12
R Mikael Samuelsson 3 0 1 1 -2 14:07
D Kyle Quincey 24 1 0 1 10 19:03
D Brendan Smith 15 0 1 1 5 18:16
D Kent Huskins 11 0 0 0 -3 15:20
D Carlo Colaiacovo 2 0 0 0 0 17:26
C Darren Helm 1 0 0 0 0 12:27
L Jan Mursak 2 0 0 0 0 5:38
C Gustav Nyquist 2 0 0 0 -1 12:22
DET Goalies:
Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT
Petr Mrazek 2, 1-1-0, 2.02, 0.922
Jimmy Howard 22, 10-7-4, 2.46, 0.914
Jonas Gustavsson 4, 1-1-1, 2.18, 0.908
CGY Skaters:
POS Player GP G A PTS +/- ATOI
R Jarome Iginla 24 7 12 19 -3 19:35
L Alex Tanguay 24 7 12 19 -7 20:15
L Mike Cammalleri 21 9 8 17 -8 17:23
C Jiri Hudler 21 4 12 16 -3 17:49
R Lee Stempniak 24 6 10 16 3 18:00
L Curtis Glencross 22 8 5 13 -6 19:06
D Dennis Wideman 24 3 9 12 -5 25:11
C Matt Stajan 24 3 9 12 6 17:29
D Jay Bouwmeester 24 4 8 12 -4 24:47
C Roman Cervenka 20 3 5 8 -7 13:56
D TJ Brodie 23 1 5 6 -2 17:54
C Mikael Backlund 10 4 1 5 -1 13:55
D Chris Butler 21 0 5 5 -5 16:25
D Mark Giordano 24 1 4 5 -6 23:03
L Blake Comeau 23 1 2 3 -8 11:27
L Roman Horak 6 1 1 2 -1 12:28
L Steve Begin 18 1 1 2 -1 7:29
C Blair Jones 11 0 1 1 -2 8:50
D Derek Smith 17 0 1 1 -2 12:47
L Sven Baertschi 10 0 1 1 -2 11:00
D Anton Babchuk 2 0 1 1 -2 11:57
R Tim Jackman 20 1 0 1 -4 6:17
C Paul Byron 1 0 0 0 -1 2:51
R Akim Aliu 2 0 0 0 0 4:29
C Ben Street 2 0 0 0 -2 12:58
D Cory Sarich 9 0 0 0 -4 13:20
R Brian McGrattan 7 0 0 0 -2 6:10
CGY Goalies:
Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT
Daniel Taylor 2, 1-1-0, 3.00, 0.912
Joey MacDonald 9, 3-4-1, 2.85, 0.900
Leland Irving 6, 2-1-1, 3.33, 0.883
Miikka Kiprusoff 10, 3-5-2, 3.43, 0.867
DET - HOT:
Jakub Kindl - 2 pts in last 3 GP
Jimmy Howard - 2-0-2, 0.96, .965 in last 4 GPI
Jonas Gustavsson - 1-1-0, 1.92, .920 in last 2 GPI
DET - NOT HOT:
Kyle Quincey - 0 pts in last 6 GP
Dan Cleary - 0 pts in last 7 GP
CGY - HOT:
Alex Tanguay - 2 pts in last 2 GP
CGY - NOT HOT:
Michael Cammalleri - 1 pts in last 4 GP
Dennis Wideman - 2 pts in last 11 GP
Blake Comeau - 0 pts in last 3 GP
Jiri Hudler - 0 pts in last 3 GP
Lee Stempniak - 0 pts in last 3 GP
Miikka Kiprusoff - 0-2-0, 5.56, .783 in last 2 GPI
Injury Report:
DET:
Bertuzzi, Todd Back injury injured reserve
Colaiacovo, Carlo Shoulder injury injured reserve
Filppula, Valtteri Left shoulder injury day-to-day
Helm, Darren Back injury injured reserve
Samuelsson, Mikael Broken finger injured reserve
CGY:
Byron, Paul Fractured left hand injured reserve
Glencross, Curtis Upper body injury day-to-day
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bill Roose at the Wings website has the Wings Tuesday practice lines:
Babcock shuffled the forward lines a bit:
Nyquist - Datsyuk - Franzen
Filppula - Zetterberg - Brunner
Cleary - Abdelkader - Andersson
Miller - Emmerton - Tootoo
Filed in: | Abel to Yzerman | Permalink
Comments
I like those lines!
I would rather have Eaves in, and Andersson is the natural center, not Gator
Posted by MoreShoot on 03/13/13 at 09:14 AM ET
Yea Mike, and you better friggin find some urgency.
This team hasn’t shown urgency in….. ummmm….. hmmmm….
Posted by Vladimir16 from Grand River Valley on 03/13/13 at 09:34 AM ET
I know I’m going to sound like a disloyal fan here, but I won’t be around much during this west coast swing. Either it’s the cosmic dust or the uncomfortable feeling in my gut but I can’t stay up that late anymore. (Thank goodness the Wings will be in the east next season.)
So… I’ll be with you all in spirit, and I’ll read the LB comments the day after. And I’ll be hoping - though not really expecting - the Wings to come through and get the points they need.
Thanks, Okie! You went over and above today. Well done.
LET’S GO RED WINGS !!!!!
Posted by MsRedWinger from Flori-duh on 03/13/13 at 09:38 AM ET
This team hasn’t shown urgency in….. ummmm….. hmmmm….
Posted by Vladimir16 on 03/13/13 at 09:34 AM ET
...5 years?...the ‘08 playoffs?
Seriously though, this is the perfect time for Calgary to turn their season around.
This three game swing, tonight at basement dwellar CGY, Friday at EDM, and Saturday at VAN, could very well determine if the playoff streak continues.
The following six games: home to Minny, back-to-back at Anaheim, at Phoenix, at SJ and a return home with a lovely Sunday afternoon tilt against Chicago. What a kick in the crotch.
Posted by godblender on 03/13/13 at 09:44 AM ET
It’s Halloween in March. February’s from hell will look tame in a couple weeks. Good news; the robins and the red wing blackbirds are back.
Posted by Rdwings28 on 03/13/13 at 09:54 AM ET
”...the red wing blackbirds are back.”
Posted by MsRedWinger from Flori-duh on 03/13/13 at 10:02 AM ET
I would rather have Eaves in, and Andersson is the natural center, not Gator
Agreed, but I’m just overjoyed that Abdelkader is closer to where he should be.
Posted by Garth on 03/13/13 at 10:40 AM ET
Agreed, but I’m just overjoyed that Abdelkader is closer to where he should be.
Well here’s hoping beyond hope that someone figures out Eaves is a ...
better skater
better shooter (actually can shoot)
smarter
better on the PK
hits his wait better
.... than Abby
Posted by MoreShoot on 03/13/13 at 11:21 AM ET
Something about that first line made the birds sing today
Posted by 42jeff from Minot, North Dakota on 03/13/13 at 12:02 PM ET
no ties, no ties, no ties, no ties! Almost every team around us either has or will have 2 games in hand. And we fall short in 2 categories: #1 points, and #2 wins. This could very well come down to a tie at the end of the season. We dont sit well for those tiebreakers either, so 2 pt wins are a must. I dislike these type of “spoiler” games. Playing the wounded basement beast always seems to bite us in the arse. Winning this game would be huge. Lets get 2!
Game On!
Posted by NIVO from underpants gnome village on 03/13/13 at 12:37 PM ET
cleary and gator from 1st to third in four days. I go CRAZY
Posted by Rdwings28 on 03/13/13 at 12:56 PM ET
Posted by MoreShoot on 03/13/13 at 11:21 AM ET
Baby steps…
Posted by Garth on 03/13/13 at 01:02 PM ET
Baby steps…
Posted by Garth on 03/13/13 at 01:02 PM ET
So maybe the next step will be sitting Cleary and getting Eaves back in there?
Posted by MsRedWinger from Flori-duh on 03/13/13 at 01:11 PM ET
Thanks Okie!
Ima likin the lines. Prolly just teasing us…..
Statistics lie!! 9 outta 10 Dentists agree.
Posted by Rumbear from Top O the Hasek, SCP Round #2....whore style on 03/13/13 at 01:14 PM ET
So maybe the next step will be sitting Cleary and getting Eaves back in there?
Hopefully.
Posted by Garth on 03/13/13 at 01:24 PM ET
How many shifts for Ny tonight until he gets bumped down to the third line?
So maybe the next step will be sitting Cleary and getting Eaves back in there?
Hopefully.
No chance in hell.
Posted by godblender on 03/13/13 at 01:30 PM ET
Wow! Outstanding GDT, Jeff. Truly appreciate it. Now, I feel like it’s game day.
...I’m sounding general quarters.
At the ready.
This is a forechecking team that grinds the puck well below the goal line and the Wings have shown absolute flaccidity in handling it. General quarters indeed.
Still waiting on the game notes to post the refs slated to work the game tonight. As soon as it’s up, I’ll post it.
And FFS, get the two fuching points, Wings.
Posted by SYF from a viewing moratorium of NBC's hockey coverage on 03/13/13 at 01:38 PM ET
Boatload of practice tweets from Khan(!):
Babcock said Abdelkader will start on line with Datsyuk and Franzen but that Nyquist will play up there too. Nyquist starts with 63 and 11
Eaves is playing tonight so it looks like Tootoo will be scratched
Babcock said Tootoo isn’t injured, might be healthy scratch tonight cuz he has Filppula and Nyquist in
Tootoo is game time decision, white out for personal reasons; Lashoff in
Babcock said Gustavsson starting
Posted by Jeff OKWingnut from Quest for 12 on 03/13/13 at 02:15 PM ET
Per Khan(!): Fils in, Tootoo out. Gustavsson starting.
Posted by SYF from a viewing moratorium of NBC's hockey coverage on 03/13/13 at 02:17 PM ET
Smart lines… a team at the bottom of the standings… several days rest…
IT’S A TRAP!
Posted by redxblack from Akron Ohio on 03/13/13 at 02:24 PM ET
Babcock said Abdelkader will start on line with Datsyuk and Franzen but that Nyquist will play up there too. Nyquist starts with 63 and 11
Tatar, Andy & Eaves line was so bad it needed to be blown up? But Abby can’t play anywhere but on Pavel’s wing. This isht pisses me off.
“If we bring Gus up, it will be to play in the top 6”.... lying liars.
Odds of Gus playing more on the 3rd line than on Pav’s line?
Posted by MOWingsfan19 from I really like our team on 03/13/13 at 02:34 PM ET
Posted by Jeff OKWingnut from Looking for a “D” man on 03/13/13 at 02:15 PM ET
I can only shake my head at this point. Nothing makes sense anymore.
Posted by MsRedWinger from Flori-duh on 03/13/13 at 02:54 PM ET
Here we go (just as the Vatican named the new Pope):
Referees:
Ghislain Hebert (22)
Tom Kowal (32)
Linesmen:
Jay Sharrers (57)
Michel Cormier (76)
Don’t know these guys, but it’s just as wel.
Posted by SYF from a viewing moratorium of NBC's hockey coverage on 03/13/13 at 03:21 PM ET
IT’S A
TRAPPOPE!
Posted by redxblack from Akron Ohio on 03/13/13 at 02:24 PM ET
And he’s saying the Hail Mary. He must be a Wings’ fan
Posted by CaptainDennisPolonich from Warm and sunny SoCal on 03/13/13 at 03:26 PM ET
And he’s saying the Hail Mary. He must be a Wings’ fan
Posted by CaptainDennisPolonich from Warm and sunny SoCal on 03/13/13 at 03:26 PM ET
ROFL.
Posted by SYF from a viewing moratorium of NBC's hockey coverage on 03/13/13 at 03:28 PM ET
Little known fact: I came in third in the Pope-a-thon.
Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 04:03 PM ET
lmao, didnt’ even take one shift for Nyquist to get demoted, hahahahahahahahahahaha
Posted by HockeytownOverhaul on 03/13/13 at 04:07 PM ET
Trying to post with a Fuching Android smartphone, screen jumping all around, lost it in the login, just never fuching mind.
Posted by RWBill from the open bar on The Hasek. on 03/13/13 at 04:20 PM ET
Little known fact: I came in third in the Pope-a-thon.
Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 04:03 PM ET
That’s something that should stay in the pew, no?
Posted by mrfluffy from Long Beach on 03/13/13 at 04:30 PM ET
That’s something that should stay in the pew, no?
Posted by mrfluffy from Long Beach on 03/13/13 at 04:30 PM ET
I just figured it would look good on my resume.
Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 04:34 PM ET
Trying to post with a Fuching Android smartphone, screen jumping all around, lost it in the login, just never fuching mind.
Posted by RWBill from the open bar on The Hasek. on 03/13/13 at 04:20 PM ET
No matter how many times the PC is pronounced dead, or pundits declare that we’re in the post-pc era, no phone or tablet beats a PC with a real keyboard where any amount of typing is involved. I’m loving my new Lenovo (refurb actually) with a fullsize keyboard and a 12.5” screen. “Our” iPad has now become my wife’s iPad. And it doesn’t weigh much more than the ipad.
Posted by CaptainDennisPolonich from Warm and sunny SoCal on 03/13/13 at 05:01 PM ET
I just figured it would look good on my resume.
Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 04:34 PM ET
Absolutely. Especially if you are able to stick to that “giving up little boys for Lent” thing.
Posted by dougie on 03/13/13 at 05:01 PM ET
Absolutely. Especially if you are able to stick to that “giving up little boys for Lent” thing.
Posted by dougie on 03/13/13 at 05:01 PM ET
On the plus side… that does leave a lot of the year for rearing altar boys. Wait…what?
Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 05:31 PM ET
Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 05:31 PM ET
Posted by mrfluffy from Long Beach on 03/13/13 at 06:40 PM ET
I’m a tee-pee, I’m a wigwam, I’m a te-pee, I’m a wigwam. I’m too tense. I’m gonna hang for this one. Just because.
Thanks OKie.
Bitches.
Lets Go Red Wings!!!!!
Posted by Kate from Pa.-made in Detroit on 03/13/13 at 06:57 PM ET
Pope in the pizza.
Lets Fo Red Wings!!!!!
Posted by Kate from Pa.-made in Detroit on 03/13/13 at 07:01 PM ET
Wow, Okie I think you burned some brain cells up with these statistics…..Thanks!
Lets Go Red Wings!!!!!
Posted by Little Redhead from the Engineer's chair on 03/13/13 at 08:30 PM ET
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Welcome to Abel to Yzerman, a Red Wing blog since 1977. No other site on the internet has better-researched, fact-laden and better prepared discussions than A2Y. Re-phrase: we do little research, find facts and stats highly overrated and claim little to no preparation. There are 19 readers of A2Y. No more, no less. All of them, except maybe one, are juvenile in nature. Reminding them of that in the comment section will only encourage them to prove that. Your suggestions and critiques are welcome: wphoulihan@gmail.com
I like those lines!
Posted by w2j2 on 03/13/13 at 09:12 AM ET