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Abel to Yzerman

GDT - Game 27: Red Wings (12-9-5) at Flames (9-11-4) 9:30

GDT Plus today, bitches.  There is Trouble in Paradise, much more than the diggers are letting on.  It is "Huge," Babcock said. "It's not even the trip, it's tomorrow. We got a game tomorrow. We've got one out of a possible four points here lately. We need to get back on the winning side of things."  Yea Mike, and you better friggin find some urgency.

This three game swing, tonight at basement dwellar CGY, Friday at EDM, and Saturday at VAN, could very well determine if the playoff streak continues.  Let me explain.

FeeL Like a Number?

I know, we are only two games past the half-way point and I'm sounding general quarters. WTF you say, DET are in 7th place in the West (but have played 1 more game than others).

Let me fill in some blanks.  DET have played 26 games (12-9-5 - .558%);  9-4-3  at home (.656%), and 3-5-2 (.400%) on the road.  DET have 14 road games left but only 8 at home.  That should scare the dickens out of everyone, but I've gone a little further.

Here I hazard an assumption, and it is slightly imperfect. I looked at the last three seasons to see the points registered by the #8 team. The sample is skewed because in the previous three years, competition was not limited to conference foes; still it is a good size sample.

2011-12 = 95

2010-11 = 97

2009-10 = 95

Let's go with 95 points being the minimum.  Adjusted to a 48 game schedule, that means the target number is 55.603 pts.  (95/164 = .5792%  * 96).

Right now the Wings sit at 29 points, so they need 26 more to get to 55 (a friendly nod).  Not too difficult with 22 games left, right? 

Wrong.  DET needs 26/44 = .5909 (almost 60%).  In a home heavy schedule to date, DET are earning just .558% of points (and only .400% on the road).

DOOMED

The Wings need to get hot, and in a friggin hurry.  Nothing in DET's numbers suggest a good result; but that is why they play the game.

SEASON RECORD:

DET:  26 GP,  12-9-5,  29 pts, (7 in Conf, 3 in Central), 68 GF, 66 GA, Last 10 5-3-2,  OT 1

CGY:  24 GP,  9-11-4,  22 pts, (15 in Conf, 5 in Northwest), 64 GF, 82 GA, Last 10 4-5-1,  LOST 3

DET ROAD:  3-5-2 (19)

CGY HOME:  6-5-2 (22)

TEAM STATISTICS:

DET:  0.558 point% (17), 2.54 G/G (19), 2.46 GA/G (9), 1.25 5-5 F/A (6), 14.4 PP% (25), 79.0 PK% (20), 29.5 S/G (13), 28.3 SA/G (13), 51.9 FO% (6)

CGY:  0.458 point% (26), 2.67 G/G (15), 3.29 GA/G (28), 0.72 5-5 F/A (28), 19.3 PP% (11), 77.6 PK% (27), 28.2 S/G (19), 28.2 SA/G (12), 47.3 FO% (25)

Goal Differential/Game:

DET = +0.08

CGY =  -0.62

PLAYER STATS:

DET Skaters:

POS Player GP G A PTS +/-  ATOI

L Henrik Zetterberg 26 6 21 27 2 20:46
C Pavel Datsyuk 25 8 17 25 9  20:13
C Damien Brunner 26 10 9 19 -2  17:08
D Niklas Kronwall 26 3 15 18 -5  24:05
C Johan Franzen 19 5 6 11 4  18:33
C Valtteri Filppula 19 4 6 10 3  17:40
D Jonathan Ericsson 23 2 8 10 2  21:25
D Jakub Kindl 19 3 4 7 11  17:34
C Tomas Tatar 18 4 3 7 2  11:22
R Daniel Cleary 26 5 2 7 -4  17:07
R Patrick Eaves 18 1 5 6 5  10:16
C Joakim Andersson 16 3 3 6 5  10:21
L Drew Miller 26 2 3 5 0  13:32
R Jordin Tootoo 26 2 2 4 2  9:25
D Brian Lashoff 21 1 3 4 -3  18:15
C Cory Emmerton 26 2 1 3 1  10:46
R Todd Bertuzzi 7 2 1 3 3  15:31
D Ian White 15 1 1 2 -1  20:29
L Justin Abdelkader 26 1 1 2 -3  14:12
R Mikael Samuelsson 3 0 1 1 -2  14:07
D Kyle Quincey 24 1 0 1 10  19:03
D Brendan Smith 15 0 1 1 5  18:16
D Kent Huskins 11 0 0 0 -3  15:20
D Carlo Colaiacovo 2 0 0 0 0  17:26
C Darren Helm 1 0 0 0 0  12:27
L Jan Mursak 2 0 0 0 0  5:38
C Gustav Nyquist 2 0 0 0 -1  12:22

DET Goalies:

Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT

Petr Mrazek 2,  1-1-0,  2.02,  0.922
Jimmy Howard 22, 10-7-4,  2.46,  0.914
Jonas Gustavsson 4,  1-1-1,  2.18,  0.908

CGY Skaters:
POS Player GP G A PTS +/-  ATOI

R Jarome Iginla 24 7 12 19 -3  19:35
L Alex Tanguay 24 7 12 19 -7  20:15
L Mike Cammalleri 21 9 8 17 -8  17:23
C Jiri Hudler 21 4 12 16 -3  17:49
R Lee Stempniak 24 6 10 16 3  18:00
L Curtis Glencross 22 8 5 13 -6  19:06
D Dennis Wideman 24 3 9 12 -5  25:11
C Matt Stajan 24 3 9 12 6  17:29
D Jay Bouwmeester 24 4 8 12 -4  24:47
C Roman Cervenka 20 3 5 8 -7  13:56
D TJ Brodie 23 1 5 6 -2  17:54
C Mikael Backlund 10 4 1 5 -1  13:55
D Chris Butler 21 0 5 5 -5  16:25
D Mark Giordano 24 1 4 5 -6  23:03
L Blake Comeau 23 1 2 3 -8  11:27
L Roman Horak 6 1 1 2 -1  12:28
L Steve Begin 18 1 1 2 -1  7:29
C Blair Jones 11 0 1 1 -2  8:50
D Derek Smith 17 0 1 1 -2  12:47
L Sven Baertschi 10 0 1 1 -2 11:00
D Anton Babchuk 2 0 1 1 -2  11:57
R Tim Jackman 20 1 0 1 -4  6:17
C Paul Byron 1 0 0 0 -1  2:51
R Akim Aliu 2 0 0 0 0  4:29
C Ben Street 2 0 0 0 -2  12:58
D Cory Sarich 9 0 0 0 -4  13:20
R Brian McGrattan 7 0 0 0 -2  6:10

CGY Goalies:

Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT

Daniel Taylor 2,  1-1-0,  3.00,  0.912
Joey MacDonald 9,  3-4-1,  2.85,  0.900
Leland Irving 6,  2-1-1,  3.33, 0.883
Miikka Kiprusoff 10,  3-5-2,  3.43,  0.867

THE HOCKEY NEWS - TOTT:

DET - HOT:

Jakub Kindl - 2 pts in last 3 GP
Jimmy Howard  - 2-0-2, 0.96, .965 in last 4 GPI
Jonas Gustavsson - 1-1-0, 1.92, .920 in last 2 GPI

DET - NOT HOT:

Kyle Quincey  - 0 pts in last 6 GP
Dan Cleary  - 0 pts in last 7 GP

CGY - HOT:

Alex Tanguay  - 2 pts in last 2 GP

CGY - NOT HOT:

Michael Cammalleri  - 1 pts in last 4 GP
Dennis Wideman  - 2 pts in last 11 GP
Blake Comeau  - 0 pts in last 3 GP
Jiri Hudler  - 0 pts in last 3 GP
Lee Stempniak - 0 pts in last 3 GP
Miikka Kiprusoff  - 0-2-0, 5.56, .783 in last 2 GPI

Injury Report:

DET:

Bertuzzi, Todd Back injury injured reserve
Colaiacovo, Carlo Shoulder injury injured reserve
Filppula, Valtteri Left shoulder injury day-to-day
Helm, Darren Back injury injured reserve
Samuelsson, Mikael Broken finger injured reserve

CGY:

Byron, Paul  Fractured left hand  injured reserve
Glencross, Curtis  Upper body injury  day-to-day

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Bill Roose at the Wings website has the Wings Tuesday practice lines:

Babcock shuffled the forward lines a bit:

Nyquist - Datsyuk - Franzen

Filppula - Zetterberg - Brunner

Cleary - Abdelkader - Andersson

Miller - Emmerton - Tootoo

Filed in: | Abel to Yzerman | Permalink
 

Comments

w2j2's avatar

I like those lines!

cool smile

Posted by w2j2 on 03/13/13 at 08:12 AM ET

MoreShoot's avatar

I like those lines!

I would rather have Eaves in, and Andersson is the natural center, not Gator

Posted by MoreShoot on 03/13/13 at 08:14 AM ET

Vladimir16's avatar

Yea Mike, and you better friggin find some urgency.

This team hasn’t shown urgency in….. ummmm….. hmmmm….

Posted by Vladimir16 from Grand River Valley on 03/13/13 at 08:34 AM ET

MsRedWinger's avatar

I know I’m going to sound like a disloyal fan here, but I won’t be around much during this west coast swing.  Either it’s the cosmic dust or the uncomfortable feeling in my gut but I can’t stay up that late anymore.  (Thank goodness the Wings will be in the east next season.)

So…  I’ll be with you all in spirit, and I’ll read the LB comments the day after.  And I’ll be hoping - though not really expecting - the Wings to come through and get the points they need.

Thanks, Okie!  You went over and above today.  Well done.

LET’S GO RED WINGS !!!!!

Posted by MsRedWinger from Flori-duh on 03/13/13 at 08:38 AM ET

Avatar

This team hasn’t shown urgency in….. ummmm….. hmmmm….

Posted by Vladimir16 on 03/13/13 at 09:34 AM ET

...5 years?...the ‘08 playoffs?

Seriously though, this is the perfect time for Calgary to turn their season around.

This three game swing, tonight at basement dwellar CGY, Friday at EDM, and Saturday at VAN, could very well determine if the playoff streak continues.

The following six games: home to Minny, back-to-back at Anaheim, at Phoenix, at SJ and a return home with a lovely Sunday afternoon tilt against Chicago. What a kick in the crotch.

Posted by godblender on 03/13/13 at 08:44 AM ET

Rdwings28's avatar

It’s Halloween in March. February’s from hell will look tame in a couple weeks. Good news; the robins and the red wing blackbirds are back.

Posted by Rdwings28 on 03/13/13 at 08:54 AM ET

MsRedWinger's avatar

”...the red wing blackbirds are back.”

cool smile

Posted by MsRedWinger from Flori-duh on 03/13/13 at 09:02 AM ET

Avatar

I would rather have Eaves in, and Andersson is the natural center, not Gator

Agreed, but I’m just overjoyed that Abdelkader is closer to where he should be.

Posted by Garth on 03/13/13 at 09:40 AM ET

MoreShoot's avatar

Agreed, but I’m just overjoyed that Abdelkader is closer to where he should be.

Well here’s hoping beyond hope that someone figures out Eaves is a ...
  better skater
  better shooter (actually can shoot)
  smarter
  better on the PK
  hits his wait better

.... than Abby
 

 

Posted by MoreShoot on 03/13/13 at 10:21 AM ET

MoreShoot's avatar

hits his wait better

sheesh.  try weight

Posted by MoreShoot on 03/13/13 at 10:27 AM ET

42jeff's avatar

Something about that first line made the birds sing today

Posted by 42jeff from The greater Howard City, MI metroplex on 03/13/13 at 11:02 AM ET

NIVO's avatar

no ties,  no ties, no ties, no ties! Almost every team around us either has or will have 2 games in hand. And we fall short in 2 categories: #1 points, and #2 wins. This could very well come down to a tie at the end of the season. We dont sit well for those tiebreakers either, so 2 pt wins are a must. I dislike these type of “spoiler” games. Playing the wounded basement beast always seems to bite us in the arse. Winning this game would be huge. Lets get 2!

Game On!

Posted by NIVO from underpants gnome village on 03/13/13 at 11:37 AM ET

Rdwings28's avatar

cleary and gator from 1st to third in four days. I go CRAZY

Posted by Rdwings28 on 03/13/13 at 11:56 AM ET

Avatar

Posted by MoreShoot on 03/13/13 at 11:21 AM ET

Baby steps…

Posted by Garth on 03/13/13 at 12:02 PM ET

MsRedWinger's avatar

Baby steps…

Posted by Garth on 03/13/13 at 01:02 PM ET

So maybe the next step will be sitting Cleary and getting Eaves back in there?

Posted by MsRedWinger from Flori-duh on 03/13/13 at 12:11 PM ET

Rumbear's avatar

Thanks Okie!


Ima likin the lines.  Prolly just teasing us…..

Statistics lie!!  9 outta 10 Dentists agree. 

 

Posted by Rumbear from Top O the Hasek, with 3 fingers of rum & a cigar.. on 03/13/13 at 12:14 PM ET

Avatar

So maybe the next step will be sitting Cleary and getting Eaves back in there?

Hopefully.

Posted by Garth on 03/13/13 at 12:24 PM ET

Avatar

How many shifts for Ny tonight until he gets bumped down to the third line?

So maybe the next step will be sitting Cleary and getting Eaves back in there?

Hopefully.

No chance in hell.

Posted by godblender on 03/13/13 at 12:30 PM ET

SYF's avatar

Wow!  Outstanding GDT, Jeff.  Truly appreciate it.  Now, I feel like it’s game day.

...I’m sounding general quarters.

At the ready.

This is a forechecking team that grinds the puck well below the goal line and the Wings have shown absolute flaccidity in handling it.  General quarters indeed.

Still waiting on the game notes to post the refs slated to work the game tonight.  As soon as it’s up, I’ll post it.

And FFS, get the two fuching points, Wings.

Posted by SYF from Alana Blanchard's Bikinis and Surfboards on 03/13/13 at 12:38 PM ET

Jeff  OKWingnut's avatar

Boatload of practice tweets from Khan(!):

Babcock said Abdelkader will start on line with Datsyuk and Franzen but that Nyquist will play up there too. Nyquist starts with 63 and 11

Eaves is playing tonight so it looks like Tootoo will be scratched

Babcock said Tootoo isn’t injured, might be healthy scratch tonight cuz he has Filppula and Nyquist in

Tootoo is game time decision, white out for personal reasons; Lashoff in

Babcock said Gustavsson starting

Posted by Jeff OKWingnut from Quest for 12 on 03/13/13 at 01:15 PM ET

SYF's avatar

Per Khan(!):  Fils in, Tootoo out.  Gustavsson starting.

Posted by SYF from Alana Blanchard's Bikinis and Surfboards on 03/13/13 at 01:17 PM ET

redxblack's avatar

Smart lines… a team at the bottom of the standings… several days rest…

IT’S A TRAP!

Posted by redxblack from Akron Ohio on 03/13/13 at 01:24 PM ET

MOWingsfan19's avatar

Babcock said Abdelkader will start on line with Datsyuk and Franzen but that Nyquist will play up there too. Nyquist starts with 63 and 11

Tatar, Andy & Eaves line was so bad it needed to be blown up? But Abby can’t play anywhere but on Pavel’s wing. This isht pisses me off.
“If we bring Gus up, it will be to play in the top 6”.... lying liars.
Odds of Gus playing more on the 3rd line than on Pav’s line?

Posted by MOWingsfan19 from I really like our team on 03/13/13 at 01:34 PM ET

MsRedWinger's avatar

Posted by Jeff OKWingnut from Looking for a “D” man on 03/13/13 at 02:15 PM ET

I can only shake my head at this point.  Nothing makes sense anymore.

Posted by MsRedWinger from Flori-duh on 03/13/13 at 01:54 PM ET

SYF's avatar

Here we go (just as the Vatican named the new Pope):

Referees:
Ghislain Hebert (22)
Tom Kowal (32)

Linesmen:
Jay Sharrers (57)
Michel Cormier (76)

Don’t know these guys, but it’s just as wel.

Posted by SYF from Alana Blanchard's Bikinis and Surfboards on 03/13/13 at 02:21 PM ET

CaptainDennisPolonich's avatar

IT’S A TRAP POPE!
Posted by redxblack from Akron Ohio on 03/13/13 at 02:24 PM ET

And he’s saying the Hail Mary. He must be a Wings’ fan

Posted by CaptainDennisPolonich from The Land of Fake Boobs and Real Nuts on 03/13/13 at 02:26 PM ET

SYF's avatar

And he’s saying the Hail Mary. He must be a Wings’ fan

Posted by CaptainDennisPolonich from Warm and sunny SoCal on 03/13/13 at 03:26 PM ET

ROFL.

Posted by SYF from Alana Blanchard's Bikinis and Surfboards on 03/13/13 at 02:28 PM ET

calquake's avatar

Little known fact:  I came in third in the Pope-a-thon.

Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 03:03 PM ET

HockeytownOverhaul's avatar

lmao, didnt’ even take one shift for Nyquist to get demoted, hahahahahahahahahahaha

Posted by HockeytownOverhaul on 03/13/13 at 03:07 PM ET

RWBill's avatar

Trying to post with a Fuching Android smartphone, screen jumping all around, lost it in the login, just never fuching mind.

Posted by RWBill from Brush Street cruising with Super Creepy Rob Lowe. on 03/13/13 at 03:20 PM ET

mrfluffy's avatar

Little known fact:  I came in third in the Pope-a-thon.

Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 04:03 PM ET

That’s something that should stay in the pew, no?

Posted by mrfluffy from A wide spot on I-90 in Montana on 03/13/13 at 03:30 PM ET

calquake's avatar

That’s something that should stay in the pew, no?

Posted by mrfluffy from Long Beach on 03/13/13 at 04:30 PM ET

I just figured it would look good on my resume.

Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 03:34 PM ET

CaptainDennisPolonich's avatar

Trying to post with a Fuching Android smartphone, screen jumping all around, lost it in the login, just never fuching mind.
Posted by RWBill from the open bar on The Hasek. on 03/13/13 at 04:20 PM ET

No matter how many times the PC is pronounced dead, or pundits declare that we’re in the post-pc era, no phone or tablet beats a PC with a real keyboard where any amount of typing is involved. I’m loving my new Lenovo (refurb actually) with a fullsize keyboard and a 12.5” screen. “Our” iPad has now become my wife’s iPad. And it doesn’t weigh much more than the ipad.

Posted by CaptainDennisPolonich from The Land of Fake Boobs and Real Nuts on 03/13/13 at 04:01 PM ET

dougie's avatar

I just figured it would look good on my resume.

Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 04:34 PM ET

Absolutely. Especially if you are able to stick to that “giving up little boys for Lent” thing.

Posted by dougie on 03/13/13 at 04:01 PM ET

calquake's avatar

Absolutely. Especially if you are able to stick to that “giving up little boys for Lent” thing.

Posted by dougie on 03/13/13 at 05:01 PM ET

On the plus side… that does leave a lot of the year for rearing altar boys.  Wait…what?

Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 04:31 PM ET

mrfluffy's avatar

Posted by calquake on 03/13/13 at 05:31 PM ET

 

Posted by mrfluffy from A wide spot on I-90 in Montana on 03/13/13 at 05:40 PM ET

Kate from Pa.-made in Detroit's avatar

I’m a tee-pee, I’m a wigwam, I’m a te-pee, I’m a wigwam. I’m too tense. I’m gonna hang for this one. Just because.

Thanks OKie.

Bitches.

Lets Go Red Wings!!!!!

Posted by Kate from Pa.-made in Detroit on 03/13/13 at 05:57 PM ET

Kate from Pa.-made in Detroit's avatar

Pope in the pizza.

http://vimeo.com/59509411

Lets Fo Red Wings!!!!!

Posted by Kate from Pa.-made in Detroit on 03/13/13 at 06:01 PM ET

Little Redhead's avatar

Wow, Okie I think you burned some brain cells up with these statistics…..Thanks!

Lets Go Red Wings!!!!!

Posted by Little Redhead from the Engineer's chair on 03/13/13 at 07:30 PM ET

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Welcome to Abel to Yzerman, a Red Wing blog since 1977.  No other site on the internet has better-researched, fact-laden and better prepared discussions than A2Y.  Re-phrase: we do little research, find facts and stats highly overrated and claim little to no preparation.  There are 19 readers of A2Y. No more, no less. All of them, except maybe one, are juvenile in nature.  Reminding them of that in the comment section will only encourage them to prove that. Your suggestions and critiques are welcome: wphoulihan@gmail.com