Paul Kukla founded Kukla’s Korner in 2005 and the site has since become the must-read site on the ‘net for all the latest happenings around the NHL.
From breaking news to in-depth stories around the league, KK Hockey is updated with fresh stories all day long and will bring you the latest news as quickly as possible.
Email Paul anytime at [email protected]
-----hes a high-probability top-nine forward with the chance to reach the top-six if
---I am probably not being realistic here, but i want #8 pick to have a high probability of being a top 6 forward with a chance to be a first line player.
In general fans grossly overestimate the expected outcome of first round picks outside the top 3 or so.
Put it this way: since 1966 there have been 38 forwards selected at #8 OA. By my subjective count:
1 clear-cut hall of famer (Sittler)
2 borderline/controversial hall of famers (Roenick, Gainey)
3 consistent first-line talents (William Nylander, Couturier, Larouche)
3 other forwards with 500+ career points (Corson, Samsonov, DeBlois)
3 too early to call (Mittelstadt, Jack Quinn, Kasper)
26 players who topped out as middle six forwards or worse. The best of these are guys like Devin Setoguchi, Pierre-Marc Bouchard, Niklas Sundstrom, and Pat Elynuik, who topped out as solid second-liners but didn't have much staying power (fewer than 5 seasons in the top 5 of team scoring).
Basically, if you're drafting a forward 8th overall, the default assumption is that you'll probably wind up with a player who has a relatively short peak as second liner but falls quickly out of the league (e.g., Setoguchi) or a dependable third liner who scratches out a 10+ year career as a supporting player (e.g., Boedker). And that's the median outcome, so half of all players drafted 8th are at this level or below.
If Kasper becomes a dependable two-way second line center and sticks in the league for 10 seasons that would be a really good outcome relative to draft position.
Trouble in paradise? Kinda surprised he went public with this. If it was in a hockey market like Toronto, oh boy.
And now they're using statements instead of just talking to each other. So unnecessary.
I think I'm going to use this example for a leadership class I'm taking right now.
I'm sure Stamkos understands it is going to be a tricky contract given his age and Tampa's cap priorities. But it sounds like there have been no discussions and that sounds a little insulting.
Create an Account
In order to leave a comment, please create an account.