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Fast Guys, Offers Sheets And Summertime Offer Sheets

from Matt Porter of the Boston Globe,

- Top speed tracked in an NHL game this season, according to the league: Carolina’s Martin Necas, who hit 24.9 miles per hour. Next on the list: Alex Formenton (24.7), Connor McDavid (24.6), Nathan MacKinnon (24.5), Ryan Merkley, Nikolaj Ehlers and Lawson Crouse (24.4), Bowen Byram (24.3), Christian Jaros and Alex Tuch (24.2). Only two of those guys can stickhandle through defenders at those speeds, and you know who they are.

- There have been two offer sheets tendered in the last three summers, both of them involving Carolina players (the Hurricanes signed Jesperi Kotkaniemi away from Montreal; they also matched the Canadiens’ lowball offer to Sebastian Aho). If anyone’s going to get one this summer, Necas looks like a candidate. The 23-year-old put up a somewhat disappointing 14-26—40 season, and didn’t maximize his time in the top six. The Canes have some $19 million to spend and 10 free agents, including Necas, Max Domi, Nino Niederreiter, Vincent Trocheck, Tony DeAngelo, and Ethan Bear. If a team — hey, why not Montreal? — offers Necas more than $4.21 million, which is likely, the Canes would recoup a first- and a third-round pick if they didn’t match.

more including...

We’re about to get wild. The draft begins Thursday in Montreal, and free agency opens July 13. Here are eight predictions for the NHL’s silly season:

- Johnny Gaudreau will sign with New Jersey

Speculating here, but it just makes sense....

Filed in: NHL Teams, | KK Hockey | Permalink
 

Comments

Royal Grand Exalted PooBah's avatar

We need the link Paul if you would please.

Posted by Royal Grand Exalted PooBah from the basement of the Alamo on 07/02/22 at 10:32 AM ET

Paul's avatar

Link now appears, thanks RG…

Posted by Paul from Motown Area on 07/02/22 at 10:49 AM ET

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I don’t see it happening, but I’d love an active market on offer sheets.

Posted by GMoney on 07/02/22 at 01:16 PM ET

d ca's avatar

First, gotta start with the compensation for the offer sheets

Less than or equal to 1,386,490 means no compensation
Greater than above but less than 2,100,742 means a 3rd round pick
Greater than above but less than 4,201,488 means a 2nd round pick
Greater than above but less than 6,302,230 means a 1st & 3rd round pick
Greater than above but less than 8,402,975 means a 1st, 2nd, & 3rd round pick
Greater than above but less than 10,503,720 means 2x 1sts plus 1x 2nd and 1 x 3rd round picks
Greater than 10,503,720 = 4x 1st round picks

There is also the rule you have to divide the contract by the less of the total # of years on it OR 5 years to get its AAV.

You have to own your own draft picks for each condition above to be able to throw an offer sheet in that range: Detroit is one of 16 that can throw any range of offer. However, in practicality it is less given where teams are at in cap space.  Anaheim, Detroit, Arizona, NJD, Ottawa, Seattle, Nashville, Chicago, and Columbus are the list. So it’s really 9 teams that can do it. If a GM gets creative and proves otherwise: fine, but I am saying 9.

So given that who should SY throw an offer sheet to and for how much:
1) LHD Rasmus Sandin, 22 yrs old, Tor
offer sheet 3.5M x 1 years
cost: 2nd round pick

Yup, the Wings should take a page out of Carolina’s book and use the 1 year offer sheet to make it impossible for the Leafs to match. Toronto already has 3 x LHD (Rielly, Muzzin, and Giordano) with only 6.44M in cap space and needing a starting goalie (Mrazek makes 3.8M so good luck moving that) plus 3 forwards and 1 d-man. They can’t match. Given how many draft picks the Wings have had and the organizational depth players they got: they won’t miss that 2nd round pick.

2) If that doesn’t work out then I go
RW, Kaapo Kakko, 21 yrs old, NYR
offer 3.95M x 4 yrs
cost: 2nd round pick

Kappo was a healthy scratch in the Eastern Conference Finals. There is a good chance he wants out. Beyond the player it screws over the cap management of the NYR if they match as they have to worry about space for K’Andre Miller’s next deal. They’re a rival and one whose rebuild is far ahead of the Wings. Either way it would be a win for the Wings.

Beyond the Wings someone needs to throw an offer sheet at:
RHD Noah Dobson, 22, NYI
offer sheet 6 years x 7.00M
cost: 1st, 2nd, 3rd round picks

NYI can’t match without blowing up their team. You bet on Dobson being an offensive 2nd line pairing player and team him with a more defensive d-man. If the Wings move Hronek, I’d be all over this one. But, if they don’t it just isn’t worth the cap cost. Hint, just because you sign them doesn’t mean they will be there for 6 years. Say 3 yrs from now, a 25 yr old top 4 d-man would net a nice return in a trade with only a MNTC.

If I am Nashville’s GM I do the following:
RW, Matthew Tkachuk, 24 yrs old, CGY
offer sheet: 7 yrs x 11M
cost: 4 x 1st

They have the cap space. They’re going to be picking in the 16-22nd range for the foreseeable future. Which nets you 2nd line players if you’re extremely lucky. They’re going to lose Filip Foreberg to UFA so why not replace his scoring with a younger more responsible player?

...because of the COVID salary cap and GM’s that planned for an ever rising cap there needs to be some offer sheets. I hope SY throws at least one.

Posted by d ca on 07/03/22 at 01:15 AM ET

ChillDistiller's avatar

No way Steve poaches Sandin from his good friend Shanny.

Posted by ChillDistiller from Michigan on 07/03/22 at 11:34 AM ET

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f a team — hey, why not Montreal? — offers Necas more than $4.21 million, which is likely, the Canes would recoup a first- and a third-round pick if they didn’t match.

Even Montreal isn’t going to be foolish and give up next years first rounder when that could easily be a lottery pick with the chance to be #1 overall and likely generational talent Connor Bedard.

But if they do, you can bet Carolina doesn’t match and takes the picks.

Posted by evileye on 07/06/22 at 10:47 AM ET

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Paul Kukla founded Kukla’s Korner in 2005 and the site has since become the must-read site on the ‘net for all the latest happenings around the NHL.

From breaking news to in-depth stories around the league, KK Hockey is updated with fresh stories all day long and will bring you the latest news as quickly as possible.

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