Abel to Yzerman

Abel to Yzerman

A "Bleak Projection" For The Wings

08/29/2019 at 7:55am EDT

from Dom Luszczyszyn of The Athletic,

The Red Wings have missed the playoffs handily in three straight seasons and it looks extremely unlikely that the team’s new streak ends this season.

The odds? Two percent. It takes a special kind of bad to have that kind of certainty toward failure, one the Red Wings qualify for.

Last season the Red Wings finished with 74 points. The year before it was 73 points. The most likely landing spot for next season is right in the same ballpark with a 45 percent chance of landing somewhere between 70 and 80 points and an average projection right in between at 73.7 points.

It’s an extremely bleak projection, one exacerbated by the fact the team arguably plays in the league’s toughest division, one where three playoff spots are basically spoken for already. It would take everything going right for Detroit and everything going wrong for plenty of teams in front of them for the team to have a winning season. The Red Wings were one of the league’s weakest clubs last year and only got worse after dealing Gustav Nyquist and Nick Jensen.

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Welcome to Abel to Yzerman, a Red Wing blog since 1977. No other site on the internet has better-researched, fact-laden and better prepared discussions than A2Y. Re-phrase: we do little research, find facts and stats highly overrated and claim little to no preparation. There are 19 readers of A2Y. No more, no less. All of them, except maybe one, are juvenile in nature. Reminding them of that in the comment section will only encourage them to prove that.