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Abel to Yzerman

All About The Draft Lottery

from Mike Johnston of Sportsnet,

The Montreal Canadiens carry the best odds this year after finishing a league-worst 22-49-11 only one season after a trip to the Stanley Cup Final. The Canadiens have held the No. 1 pick an NHL record five times, however all those instances occurred between 1963 and 1980.

The last time a Canadian franchise besides the Edmonton Oilers or Toronto Maple Leafs had the top pick was in 1996 when the Ottawa Senators used it to take Chris Phillips.

WHAT’S DIFFERENT ABOUT THIS YEAR’S LOTTERY?

The draft lottery underwent a couple tweaks to its format in 2021. Not only was there the addition of a 32nd franchise, the Seattle Kraken, but the NHL downsized to two lotteries instead of three. There had been separate draws held for each of the top three picks from 2016 to 2020.

Two new changes go into effect this year and the main alteration is a big one. Teams will now be restricted from moving up more than 10 spots in the pre-draft order. This means that unlike in the preceding years, not all teams participating in the lottery are eligible to win one of the top two picks. The main purpose for this change was to ensure the team that finishes last in the standings in the regular season won’t be slated to pick any worse than third overall.

Also going forward, no team can win the top pick in the draft lottery more than twice in a five-year span. Whichever team wins the No. 1 pick on Tuesday will only be eligible to do so one more time between 2023 and 2026. The Oilers, Buffalo Sabres and New Jersey Devils each won the draft lottery multiple times over the past decade.

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I'll have a post going up at 5:45pm so you folks can discuss the lottery picks.

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Comments

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The Oilers, Buffalo Sabres and New Jersey Devils each won the draft lottery multiple times over the past decade.

And even that did not help any of those 3 teams. Sabres and Devils are still on the bottom of the standings and Oilers are not even among top teams in the league despite having the best lottery luck in the past decade (although Rangers getting first overall pick being a playoff team is a close second).

Posted by VPalmer on 05/10/22 at 12:07 PM ET

MurrayChadwick's avatar

And even that did not help any of those 3 teams. Sabres and Devils are still on the bottom of the standings and Oilers are not even among top teams in the league despite having the best lottery luck in the past decade (although Rangers getting first overall pick being a playoff team is a close second).

Posted by VPalmer on 05/10/22 at 12:07 PM ET

Usually doesn’t for a few years, but it almost always contributes down the road. Most cup winners of late have had a top 5 pick on them, I think the Wings might’ve been the last to do so, or maybe it was the Kings.

Posted by MurrayChadwick from Window Seat on the Captain's Ship on 05/10/22 at 12:33 PM ET

MurrayChadwick's avatar

The timing of all these rules just irritate the Wings fan in me to death. So now this rule goes into effect, so now its on a “go forward” basis after getting screwed, would also be nice to ensure that this went into effect on a retro basis so neither Buffalo nor NJD could win top overall.

Posted by MurrayChadwick from Window Seat on the Captain's Ship on 05/10/22 at 12:47 PM ET

Steeb's avatar

Kind of a weird semantics/math question, but, say, Vegas “wins” the lottery, meaning that Montreal gets the #1 pick. Does that mean that both Vegas and Montreal have one “lottery win” going forward? Montreal didn’t “win” it, and Vegas didn’t get #1…

Posted by Steeb on 05/10/22 at 01:37 PM ET

RWBill's avatar

Does that mean that both Vegas and Montreal have one “lottery win” going forward? Montreal didn’t “win” it, and Vegas didn’t get #1…

Posted by Steeb on 05/10/22 at 01:37 PM ET

Excellent question.  They could say, “Hey, it’s not our fault you traded away your pick the year you won the lottery.”  I can’t see them penalizing two teams going forward for one pick though.

Posted by RWBill on 05/10/22 at 02:31 PM ET

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As far as I’ve seen 1st rounders that end up in the top 2 have conditions to defer to next year.

Posted by ThatGuy on 05/10/22 at 03:55 PM ET

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Anyone else hoping the Wings don’t win the year so they are still eligible to win next year when
Connor Bedard is draft eligible. Shane Wright is good, but Bedard is the bees knees.

Posted by evileye on 05/10/22 at 04:13 PM ET

Steeb's avatar

Posted by evileye

We could theoretically win both times (barring a worse-than-11th-place finish next season). Hopefully by then we’d be out of the lottery altogether, and would have both Wright and Beddard! That would be my preference.  tongue wink

Posted by Steeb on 05/10/22 at 04:38 PM ET

TreKronor's avatar

Posted by evileye on 05/10/22 at 04:13 PM ET

Yes, absolutely, but the chance of that happening is…well, it’s not going to happen.

Bedard is going to make his team a Stanley Cup contender pretty much immediately; there is no doubt about that.  Certainly a generational talent, could definitely be better than McDavid.

Posted by TreKronor on 05/10/22 at 04:53 PM ET

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no team can win the top pick in the draft lottery more than twice in a five-year span

I obviously missed the MORE THAN TWICE portion.

Ok, if we have to be in the lottery again next year, let it be #2 overall this draft and #1 overall next draft!

Posted by evileye on 05/10/22 at 05:06 PM ET

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Welcome to Abel to Yzerman, a Red Wing blog since 1977.  No other site on the internet has better-researched, fact-laden and better prepared discussions than A2Y.  Re-phrase: we do little research, find facts and stats highly overrated and claim little to no preparation.  There are 19 readers of A2Y. No more, no less. All of them, except maybe one, are juvenile in nature.  Reminding them of that in the comment section will only encourage them to prove that. Your suggestions and critiques are welcome: wphoulihan@gmail.com

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