The Upper Canadien
So July 1 is but 30 hours away. The Canadiens, once thought to be out of range on big free agents this year, suddenly announced the buyout of PA Parenteau on Sunday afternoon. Could something be afoot?
My hunch is yes. This isn't a coincidence. The Canadiens have sought a top-six forward for the past few years, failing to get one time after time. I suspect this time, Marc Bergevin has his man. Whether it is a free agent target, or a trade, the timing can't be coincidental. The Habs have been able to speak to free agents since Thursday, and we all know lots of trade talk took place over the weekend at the draft.
My hope? Patrick Sharp, Phil Kessel or Mikko Koivu is coming to Montreal. My hunch? It's probably Michal Frolik. Wouldn't it be someting if Bergy pulled off a big deal, post-draft, when so many Habs fans have lost faith? The Canadiens have lots of chips to play, such as Jarred Tinordi, Alex Emelin, etc. Many teams are looking for defencemen. Could their be a match?
With bonuses due, and free agents available, in 30 hours, there's not much time left until we'll know. The playoffs are the best time of year for hockey fans, but this rightly might be the second best time. Lots of change to come yet. Buckle up.
So you still wish they'd kept Halak, eh?
Seriously, he's that good. Is there really anything more to say?
As is being reported across the hockey universe, the Canadiens have signed Nathan Beaulieu to an attractive bridge deal, 2 years, $2 million. This helps lock of a key part of the Canadiens future on the back end, and gives Mark Bergevin the flexibility to deal a defenceman should a good opportunity come up (say, an Emelin, or a Gilbert).
And now back to your regularly schedules Stanley Cup programming.
The Canadiens are ready, keen, and raring to go, heading into game six on Tuesday night. The Lightning are also keen to try and finish things off, but they seem tinged with anger and frustration. Perhaps not surprising, given the events of the last two games, and perhaps also a good sign for the Habs, though time will tell.
So who has the edge? I'm not going to say Montreal, and I'm not going to say Tampa Bay. I am, instead, going to focus quickly on a player. That player is Carey Price. Since winning gold at the Olympics, Price has the following record in elimination games: 7-0-0. His save percentage? Over .970. Should Price be focused, he has the ability, on his own, to steal this game. He hasn't stolen one yet this series, and I said going in he would steal at least one (as he did with game six against Ottawa).
I'm going with Price to have a monster game tomorrow. Does that mean Montreal wins? Let's see if they can score two, or maybe even three(!). Regardless, it should be a great game, and Subban, Pacioretty and co. will be doing everything they can to support the goaltender who has saved their bacon all year.
Puck drop at 7. Should be a GREAT game. I can't wait. Enjoy.
Well, you never like to lose a game in double overtime - but this is especially true when the goal is scored on an offside. That's what the Canadiens were faced with Friday night, as Tampa Bay scored despite being 2-3 feet offside when entering the zone. I've never been a huge fan of a coach's challenge, but this sort of play sums up the argument perfectly. As Michel Therrien put it, this is a black and white issue. A penalty is subjective, an offside is not. No doubt it hurts to lose in such a situation.
All that said, the Canadiens played the Lightning hard, outshooting, outhitting and outskating them. Carey Price was stellar. Ben Bishop was too, but he was shakier as the game went on. The Canadiens PP also had signs of life, though no goals. If they can sort that out, they'll be fine. I sitll think the Habs take this series.
Tomorrow's game is a 6:00 start, so make sure you don't miss the first half. Should be a good one. Do the Habs make changes after a game one loss? I've got my opinion: slot Sergei Gonchar in to assist the PP, and go with seven defencemen. Double shift Pacioretty and Gallagher. That would be my move. We'll see what Therrien does.
...or is it? Is it possible the Habs will have a harder time, and win, than they did Sunday night? Ottawa led 1-0 until there were 5 minutes left, when Dale Weise tied it up, and of course Weise then won it in overtime. However, along the way, the Habs were vastly outhit, and faced the best defensive performance I've seen against them in the playoffs since the late 80's, when a fellow named Ray Bourque used to give Canadiens fans fits. Erik Karlsson did everything he could on Sunday to push his team to victory, and still the Habs found a way to win. So if they win a fourth game against Ottawa, be it Wednesday or otherwise, will it really be the hardest win of the series?
Sunday was an interesting lesson in analysis for a hockey fan, for the Habs were destroyed physically, with thundering hits from start to finish. Yet, the Habs still won, and controleld large swaths of the game. How is that possible? I've always seen hitting as overrated. It can change momentum, absolutely, but constant hitting is just a sign that a team doesn't have the puck. You can't hit if you're trying to make a play. I'm never too concerned with the hitting aspect of a game. I'd much rather my team control shots and possession. That's much more likely to lead to a win.
So what will happen Wednesday? I can tell you this: the Habs don't want a game 5. They want to rest, regroup, and get ready to move forward. So they'll do everything they can to finish things on Wednedsay evening. Which Senators team will show up? The physical behemoths, or the skill driven team that had the NHL's best record down the stretch? Will the Burglar be back in net, or will his helper be between the pipes again? Some were blaming Anderson for giving up a weak goal in overtime, to which I say come on: any game where a goalie faces 50 shots and lets in 2 is a good performance in my books.
Wednesday should be agood tilt, and these Sens won't go down without a fight. That said, I expect the Canadiens to come out quite motivated. I suspect this one will be over in four.
Travel gets in the way, but a quick note on Habs-Sens: game one was fantastic, PK got the penalty he deserved, and nothing else should come of it. Dave Cameron should have been fined, but that's up to the NHL. Will there be fireworks tonight? Probably.
So bring on game two. I'm looking for Max Pacioretty to play, and for the Habs to come out on fire. Mark Stone will play too, because he seems to be fine - and I'm genuinely happy about that. I don't want to see anyone hurt. Jeff Petry was the Habs best defenceman in game one - does he continue the trend in game two? Does PK Subban come out a' blazing? Does Andrei Markov score on his own net again? (probably not for that last one).
Will the Habs get the Burglar, or will Grimace make another appearance?
The Habs try to go up 2-0. Puck drop at 7.
3 more sleeps. That's all there is between now and game one of the Senators and the Canadiens, a rematch that needed to happen in a rivalry that can, and will, be so much more. The Canadiens have their 5 game loss to Ottawa fresh in their minds, and will be looking for revenge against an upstart Senators team that was, without question, the hottest team over the past two months of the season.
So who will win? I break it down this way: the Canadiens have the advantage in net, with Carey Price the better goalie. The Canadiens have a much deeper defence, with the addition of Jeff Petry adding a necessary mix of skill and speed to the second pairing. As for up front, it's much more even, though injuries to Milan Michalek and Max Pacioretty could play a part. However, the Senators rookie tandem of Hoffman and Stone has been electric. I'll give the Sens a slight edge here.
Behind the bench, Dave Cameron has done a masterful job with Ottawa, while Michel Therrien guided the Habs to their first 50 win season in 25 years. Given Cameron's recent success, I'll call this even, though Therrien surely learned a few things during his loss to Ottawa two playoffs ago.
I'm going with Montreal in 7. Perhaps it will end sooner, but I have a feeling that, while the Sens still have momentum, the Habs will stop it. Carey Price will be on his game, and PK Subban will take over the Canadiens' end. Those two factors, along with the physicality of Montreal's fourth line and defence, will see the Habs come out on top.
It's going to be a lot of fun to watch.
I'm not a big awards guy, but here are the Habs I believe deserve a nomination in the top three, if not the award in question:
Carey Price: Vezina, Hart Trophy - Price was phenomenal this season. I can say no more. He's the surefire Vezina winner, and as far as I'm concerned, a lock for the Hart. He deserves it, too.
PK Subban: He should be a finalist for the Norris, and I believe he should win it. He is vastly superior to when he won the Norris 3 seasons ago, both offensively and defensively. He led NHL defencemen in even-strength points. He can take over a game in one play. Erik Karlsson is great, but he's not as complete a player. Shea Weber is a great defenceman, but he's not Subban. Subban should be your Norris winner.
Tomas Plekanec: Plekanec has long deserved a Selke nomination, and I hope he gets it this year. Some suggest Pacioretty will get one as he led the league in +/- for forwards, but Plekanec gets the tough minutes against top lines, and anchors the PK up front. He won't win it, but he deserves to be a finalist.
Michel Therrien: Sure, I quesitons his decisions sometimes, if not often. And sure, the Habs have Price. But the Canadiens won 50 games. With a roster some thought would struggle to make the playoffs. That's impressive, and for it Therrien deserves a Jack Adams nomination.
Carey Price will llead the Habs onto the ice tomorrow as they go for win number fifty on the year, and look to wrap up the Atlantic Divison title. A bit of a surprise, given Price played Thursday and most expected he would rest Saturday against the Maple Leafs, who have called up enforcer Colton Orr for their last game of the season. Are the Habs concerned that Price could get injured, as Andrei Markov did against Toronto in a final game years ago? They don't seem to be, and they genuinely seem focused on besting Tampa Bay for the division.
With the playoffs looming, many are talking about who the Habs would prefer to play first round. I can tell you who they don't want to play: Ottawa. The Habs have lost 9 of their past 15 games against Ottawa, including their 5 game playoff series two seasons ago. Pittsburgh could be a good match for the Habs, depending on the play of Marc-Andre Fleury. As for Boston, if they manage to sneak in, they're always a strong adversary. Bottom line: There is no easy road through round one.
That said, the Habs have Price, and that gives them a chance against anyone. That aside, there's one more game to play. Let's see what they've got, and whether they can become the first Habs team to win 50 games since 1989.
Well, the Habs blew the lead, came back to tie it, and lost it in a shootout, 5-4 to the Caps. Jeff Petry had his best game as a Hab, Carey Price had, arguably, his worst of the year, Max Pacioretty disappeared, and Devante Smith-Pelly is invisible. The Canadiens are an eclectic group of late, a group that have won 6 of 10 since the trade deadline.
Who looked good? Well, Petry may have been the Habs best skater, and Lars Eller played very motivated hockey. The Canadiens actually outplayed the Caps much of the game at even strength - the first period may have been their best of the year - but they took too many penalties, and they let Ovechkin have too much ice as the game went on.
No rest for the Habs, as they face New Jersey tomorrow, in a game they must win if they want to win their division. As of now, a first round date with the Penguins is on tap. Wouldn't that be fun to watch?
About The Upper Canadien
The Upper Canadien is your one stop shop for all things Montreal Canadiens. Since the summer of 2010, I've been providing Habs related news, notes, and most importantly, opinions. As a blogger, I don't believe it's my job to report the news, it's my privilege to comment on it. You may disagree with what I suggest. In fact, you most likely will. But that's the great part about blogging: it spurs opinion, comment and engages all involved. I've really enjoyed all the debate and commentary from readers thus far and I encourage everyone to respond with ideas on lineups, trades, logos, sweaters, mascots, whatever. The Upper Canadien is a conversation for all hockey fanatics.
I've come to Kukla's Korner with four years of campus radio and three years of sportswriting from my time at Mount Allison University on Canada's East coast. Not only do I not have any professional journalistic training, after five years in the corporate world, I've spent much of the past two years completing an MBA. Business by day, hockey by night, I'm a Canadiens fan through and through. I hope you enjoy reading as much as I do writing.
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