The Malik Report
Excellent news from the Free Press's Helene St. James:
No news as to whether this precludes a recall or whether the Red Wings are just giving Joakim Andersson playing time as the Grand Rapids Griffins play 3 games in 3 nights this weekend:
Here's the press release:
NHL.com's Rob Vollman wrote an article discussing Dylan Larkin's superb rookie season from an advanced statis perspective:
There's a system originally designed for baseball by Bill James in 1985, first applied to hockey by Gabriel Desjardins in 2004, that estimates how many points a player will score in the NHL coming from another league. It is based on past players from the target league and what portion of their scoring remained when they arrived in the NHL.
Larkin, the No. 15 pick in the 2014 NHL Draft, had 47 points in 35 games for Michigan last season, an average of 1.34 points per game. The translation formula for the Big Ten Conference is 0.35, so the projection for Larkin was that he would score 0.47 points per game in his NHL rookie season, a pace that would put him at almost 40 points if he played a full season.
Larkin has 38 points in 53 games, which is 0.73 points per game.
He is defying the projection in part because of the age at which he competed in college. NCAA hockey is dominated by older players, and they are the majority who set the projection number. Scoring more than a point per game at age 18 is a clear indicator of atypical talent and historically yields a translation factor of 0.51 instead of the usual 0.35 for older players. That means Larkin's actual projection is closer to 0.68 points per game, which is three points removed from his actual scoring rate.
Red Wings GM Ken Holland spoke with the Free Press's George Sipple about Danny DeKeyser and the defenseman's surprising offensive output, as illustrated by DeKeyser's goal last night against Ottawa:
“Obviously he’s joining the rush a little bit, shooting the puck,” Wings general manager Ken Holland told the Free Press after the first period. “That goal went off two or three sticks, but if you shoot the puck and go to the net sometimes you get some puck luck.”
DeKeyser has scored the most goals among Wings’ defensemen. He ranks third among team defensemen in scoring with 15 points.
Mike Green, who missed Wednesday’s game with a groin injury, is the top-scoring defensemen on the Wings with 21 points in 46 games. Niklas Kronwall, who could return as early as Sunday from a knee injury, is second with 17 points in 45 games.
“He’s here to play great defense and transition the puck,” Holland said of DeKeyser. “Obviously we want a little offense from all our defensemen. Right now he’s providing it. Over the course of 82 games everybody gets a little bit of a run and he’s on a bit of a run now.”
For Holland, one of the things that stands out about DeKeyser this season is his plus-13 plus/minus rating.
“He’s a matchup defensemen for us,” Holland said. “When you’re playing against the other teams’ best players every night and you’re plus double-digits, that’s a good number.”
DETROIT – The Detroit Red Wings and Olympia Entertainment today announced details surrounding the “Farewell Season at The Joe” campaign as the organizations prepare to embark on their final season (2016-17) at Joe Louis Arena. The campaign will celebrate many of the historic Red Wings games and entertainment acts that have been held at Joe Louis Arena in the building’s illustrious 38-year history.
from Brendan Savage of Mlive,
The Red Wings won their third straight game Wednesday, when Mrazek made 22 saves and flirted with a second straight shutout before settling for a 3-1 victory over the Ottawa Senators at Joe Louis Arena.
But it was the penalty killers who got much of the credit for helping the Red Wings (28-18-8) beat Ottawa and assume sole possession of second place in the Atlantic Division, six points behind the Florida Panthers.
The Red Wings killed their first six penalties before Ottawa finally connected on the power play, cutting Detroit's lead to 2-1 with 2:24 left after pulling goaltender Craig Anderson for a 6-on-4 advantage.
The 6-for-7 performance by the penalty killers made the Red Wings 15-for-17 – that's an 88.2-percent success rate – during the winning streak, which also included victories over the New York Islanders and Florida Panthers.
"Once again – the last game too – they really saved us," said captain Henrik Zetterberg, who scored the winning goal 2:01 into the third period. "With them and Petr, they really kept us in the game and gave us a chance to win here because we were in the box way too much."
Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet talked with Petr Mrazek after last night's win over the Senators.
Below awood40 with the extended game highlights...
Of prospect-related note:
In the Finnish Liiga, Julius Vahatalo played 11:39 in TPS Turku's 3-2 win over Lukko;
In the QMJHL, Evgeny Svechnikov had a goal and two assists, finished at +2 and went 8-for-13 on faceoffs in the Cape Breton Screaming Eagles' 10-3 win over Baie-Comeau;
Adam Marsh scored 2 goals, finished at +3 and was named the first star in his Saint John Sea Dogs' 7-2 win over Charlottetown;
And in the WHL, Dominic Turgeon scored a goal in the Portland Winterhawks' 3-2 OT win over Spokane.
The Red Wings earned their 3rd straight victory and 3rd straight home win in the form of a 3-1 decision over the Ottawa Senators, and while the Wings did lose Danny DeKeyser to a bruised knee, the Wings didn't miss a step without their 20-minute-playing defenseman, killing 6 of 7 power plays against and plain old out-working, out-hustling and out-grinding the Senators when they weren't out-scoring 'em.
This is just damn impressive...
As is this:
The Senators weren't in nearly as good spirits after the game, and their newest acquisition was disappointed in his performance, as the Ottawa Sun's Don Brennan noted:
Red Wings GM Ken Holland spoke with the Toronto Sun's Mike Zeisberger regarding the almost-trade in which the Wings weren't quite willing to give up Stephen Weiss, Brendan Smith, and either Teemu Pulkkinen or Anthony Mantha...
“Obviously, any time you are talking trade with anybody, unless the trade is consummated, you haven’t found something that both sides are comfortable with,” Holland said during a one-on-one interview on Wednesday night. “I talk to lots of people about lots of things. Some come to fruition, some don’t.”
In the case of the Dion-to-the-Wings scenario, it didn’t.
“I do think Dion’s a legitimate top-four NHL defenceman,” Holland said. “He’s only 30. He’s still in his prime. I hear good things about him as a person. He competes. He treats people with respect. Everything I hear sbout Dion has been positive.
“We did have some conversations with the Leafs at the deadline, but we didn’t obviously get far enough to get anything done for various reasons. But Dion is a top-four NHL defenceman with lots of years ahead of him.”
Not in Detroit, obviously. At least, not at this point.
Interestingly, when you read between the lines, note that Holland called Phaneuf a top-four defenceman, not a top-two. For the hefty cap hit he carries, obviously sacrificing a young player such as Smith or Manta just wasn’t worth it.
About The Malik Report
The Malik Report is a destination for all things Red Wings-related. I offer biased, perhaps unprofessional-at-times and verbose coverage of my favorite team, their prospects and developmental affiliates. I've joined the Kukla's Korner family with five years of blogging under my belt, and I hope you'll find almost everything you need to follow your Red Wings at a place where all opinions are created equal and we're all friends, talking about hockey and the team we love to follow.