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Worst 20 Adjusted +/- (Rate Stat)

I have been looking at +/- ratings and their adjustments in some of my recent posts.  I have written about adjusted +/- as a counting stat and given the top 20 and worst 20 players from last season by this method.  I am comparing it to the rate stat adjustment that Gabe Desjardins of Behind the Net does.  I have listed the top 20 players by this method.  Here are the worst 20 players last season by this method of +/- adjustment (with a minimum of 50 games played).

2008/09 Worst On/Off Ice Adjusted +/- Ratings
Rank  
Player   
Team   
Adj +/-   
Rank as Counting Stat   
1Kris DraperDet-2.54

4th

2Riley CotePhi-2.22

-

3Jay PandolfoNJD-2.02

3rd

4Darroll PowePhi-1.86

-

5Colton OrrNYR-1.84

-

6Rob NiedermayerAna-1.78

5th

7Sami PahlssonChi-1.69

-

8Travis MoenSJS-1.67

-

9Maxime TalbotPit-1.65

17th

10Boris ValabikAtl-1.63

-

11Kirk MaltbyDet-1.63

9th

12Rod Brind’AmourCar-1.58

1st

13Dustin BoydCal-1.55

-

14Jochen HechtBuf-1.42

-

15Eric NystromCal-1.41

-

16Tomas KopeckyDet-1.38

-

17John MaddenNJD-1.38

11th

18Donald BrashearWas-1.37

-

19Brett McLeanFlo-1.34

13th

20Shawn ThorntonBos-1.34

15th



Kris Draper sits atop this list.  He was a failed shutdown forward last season who is compared to some very good teammates (when he is off ice).  He climbs from 4th worst as a counting stat to worst as a rate stat.  Riley Cote, the Philadelphia Flyers goon who had very low ice time slips into second place.  During the season, I called him the worst regular in the NHL.  All told, nine players appear on both +/- rating worst lists (Draper, Jay Pandolfo, Rob Niedermayer, Maxime Talbot, Rod Brind’Amour, John Madden, Brett McLean and Shawn Thornton).  The vast majority< of these players are failed shut down players.  They play against the best players on their opposition and do not stop them from scoring.  Hence they have bad +/- ratings.  Sami Pahlsson and Travis Moen are similar players who appear on this list.  They were both traded in 2008/09 and that trade makes their adjustment not possible by the counting stat method.  Since players are compared to their teammates when they are off the ice, it is easier to have a bad rating if you play on a good team.  Brendan Witt of the New York Islanders was second worst as a counting stat and is not on the list here as he is compared to a rather inept group of teammates.  In fact, the only non-playoff players on this worst 20 list are Boris Valabik, Jochen Hecht and Brett McLean.  That shows a problem.  Bad teams should have a more prominent role here as it is likely bad players that have made them bad teams.

+/- is a good way to assess a player’s contribution to a team.  It is a context dependant stat and that context needs to be taken into account to make any sense of it.  Attempting to adjust it for the team the player is on is one important step in assessing the numbers.

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imageThe Puck Stops Here was founded during the 2004/05 lockout as a place to rant about hockey. The original site contains over 1000 posts, some of which were also published on FoxSports.com.

Who am I? A diehard hockey fan.

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