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Team Fenwick Numbers

This summer, in a series of sabermetrics and hockey posts, I have began to look at the Fenwick Number as an alternative to +/- ratings.  It is an attempt to capture puck possession numbers by counting shots on goal and missed shots while a player is on the ice in 5 on 5 situations.  It will count more events than +/- and will thus have a better signal to noise (the question is whether the events it counts are as meaningful).  I have listed the top 20 and worst 20 player Fenwick Numbers.  Much like Corsi Numbers (which include blocked shots), these results have a strong team bias.  The top 20 list has players on good teams and the bottom 20 list has players on weak teams.  In an effort to see team effects, the total Fenwick Number for each team is listed here and compared to the team Corsi Numbers.

Here are the team Fenwick Numbers for 2008/09:

2008/09 Team Fenwick Numbers
Rank  
Team   
Fenwick Number 
 Rank in team Corsis  
1Detroit Red Wings+599

1

2Chicago Blackhawks+484

4

3Washington Capitals+459

3

4San Jose Sharks+426

5

5Calgary Flames+343

2

6New York Rangers+245

6

7Carolina Hurricanes+242

8

8New Jersey Devils+218

7

9Columbus Blue Jackets+196

9

10Los Angeles Kings+96

11

11Toronto Maple Leafs+79

12

12Anaheim Ducks+68

10

13Dallas Stars+48

14

14Boston Bruins-27

13

15Ottawa Senators-29

15

16Buffalo Sabres-89

18

16St Louis Blues-89

19

18Nashville Predators-120

17

19Colorado Avalanche-122

26

20Pittsburgh Penguins-126

21

21Vancouver Canucks-142

16

22Philadelphia Flyers-185

24

23Tampa Bay Lightning-203

20

24Montreal Canadiens-240

22

25Minnesota Wild-280

25

26Edmonton Oilers-296

23

27Atlanta Thrashers-303

27

28New York Islanders-346

29

29Phoenix Coyotes-428

30

30Florida Panthers-478

28



This list is quite similar to the team Corsi Numbers list with teams shuffled a little bit.  Teams that block a lot of shots will appear better on this list and teams that take a lot of outside shots (that are more likely to be blocked) will appear worse.  The biggest change is position is the Colorado Avalanche, who were one of the top shot blocking teams last year and rise from 26th to 19th when blocked shots are removed.

Teams that did well in the regular season, but had poor Corsis and Fenwicks include the Boston Bruins and Vancouver Canucks (who had strong goaltending with is not included in these numbers) and the Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins (who had special teams success not included in these numbers).  These numbers do a good job of showing the reasons behind the success of some teams and lead to some obvious questions.  For example, if things stay the same as last year in Boston except that Tim Thomas cannot repeat his Vezina Trophy season in net, can the Bruins remain a top team?

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About The Puck Stops Here

imageThe Puck Stops Here was founded during the 2004/05 lockout as a place to rant about hockey. The original site contains over 1000 posts, some of which were also published on FoxSports.com.

Who am I? A diehard hockey fan.

Why am I blogging? I want to.

Why are you reading it? ???

Email: y2kfhl@hotmail.com