There has been an interesting series of posts in the Cycle Like The Sedins blog about an all-decade hockey team. Although I question the timing - why would one chose the decade of 1999-2008 as a meaningful time frame. It seems like a rather random start and end point.
During this decade there were nine NHL seasons (as the 2004/05 one was lost due to lockout). Thus when numbers are compared to other ten year periods, this one should be about 10% behind. As one who enjoys the process of trying to put our modern day events into perspective and figure out how they will be seen by people in the future, this is the kind of question that interests me.
In a salary capped NHL there are few periods where teams will trade with one another. One is at the trade deadline, which is coming on Wednesday. As a result of the trade deadline approaching we are starting to see some deals.
Last week was the first deal with the Ottawa Senators acquiring Mike Comrie and Chris Campoli from the New York Islanders for Dean McAmmond and San Jose’s first round draft pick in 2009 (which the Sens had previously acquired from Tampa Bay in the Andrej Meszaros deal - Tampa had acquired it in the Dan Boyle trade). Both Comrie and McAmmond are free agents to be this summer, so they don’t fit into long-term plans. Comrie is the better of the two, but this distinction is probably lost when both Ottawa and the Islanders should miss the playoffs. The portion of the deal that will last beyond this season is Chris Campoli for a first round draft pick. The pick is in the later part of the first round (depending upon San Jose’s playoff success). That is a big price to pay for a player like Chris Campoli. I am sure that similar defencemen will be traded before the deadline for less.
One of my complaints about the NHL system is that waiver rules often keep NHL capable players out of the league. The most obvious example is re-entry waivers, where certain players must clear waivers to get called up to the NHL. Any team claiming the player assumes his contract at half price. Thus it is usually unlikely to get a player through re-entry waivers. As a result, teams have kept NHL talents in the minors for the whole season instead of risking it.
Another issue is waivers for players who play in Europe. If a player plays on a European team, he must clear waivers if he is to play in the NHL as well in the same season. The New York Islanders failed to get Wade Dubielewicz onto their roster as a result of this rule. If there are other KHL players willing to jump back to the NHL this season, they have been prevented by waivers. Why would a team sign them when they are not likely to play for that team - but rather an opponent?
If the NHL had an award for most improved player, Duncan Keith of the Chicago Blackhawks should be a strong candidate for it. I doubt he would win it because players like him often fly beneath the radar of many fans. Keith is not a top scorer in the league. He is one of the best defenceman in the league.
Keith is currently tied for the NHL’s lead in +/- (with Blake Wheeler and David Krejci of Boston) with a +31 rating. The Boston players come from a team with a better +/-, so their standing is less impressive. Keith is currently 20th in scoring among defencemen with 32 points and among the league leaders with over 25 minutes played per game. Defensively Keith is one of the best players in the league. If the season ended today, I would nominate him for the Norris Trophy ( an award Mike Green should win).
I don’t think too many people were shocked by the announcement yesterday that Tom Renney was fired as the New York Rangers coach. The team has stagnated lately after a fast start this season. They have only won two of their last twelve games and are sitting in sixth place in the East Conference only two points up on ninth. They are worried that their playoff berth may be slipping away.
Tom Renney was never the high profile media personality that a typical coach in the New York market is. This makes him more vulnerable. He wasn’t a “New York style person”. The next coach John Tortorella better fits the city. He is a much better interview. He won the Stanley Cup in 2004. These are credentials that Renney did not have.
Several times this season, pundits have written off the Vancouver Canucks. They lost Markus Naslund and Brendan Morrison to free agency, while not signing the big name free agent they wanted. That led to many predicting they would miss playoffs. In November, star goalie Roberto Luongo suffered a groin injury. Many thought that would be the blow that stopped the Canucks this year. In January, Luongo returned and big name signee Mats Sundin joined the team and the Canucks proceeded to fall into a slump. That slump was going to knock them out of the race.
It should have been clear that adding Mats Sundin and Roberto Luongo would improve any team. But for the short term it didn’t. Sundin had not stayed in game shape during his sabbatical from the NHL and was playing quite badly as the Canucks number one centreman. Luongo also took a while to get back into game shape. When your number one centre and your number one goalie are not able to play their best, problems happen.
I often look at the list of top power play teams and wonder what makes the leading team so great. I think the problem is often low sample size. The average team might get about 370 power play opportunities in a season. That works out to a little over twelve games on the power play. Twelve games are often not enough to prove anything. It is relatively easy to find a twelve game patch of the season where almost any team plays very well and a twelve game patch where almost any team stumbles. Most likely, the good teams will have good patches and the bad teams will have bad patches, but there should be a lot of volatility in team’s results due to small sample size alone.
Last year, the Montreal Canadiens were the best team on the power play. They had a 24.8% success rate. They had a history of success on the power play. Their success with driven for a large part by Alexei Kovalev, who was the top scorer on the power play last season. Kovalev had an unreal, unsustainable season on the power play. At age 35, he was bound to drop and he did. Montreal has fallen to a mid-range level on the power play (17th) and with that have dropped in the standings.
I am picking Steve Mason of the Columbus Blue Jackets as the rookie of the year. There is another rookie goalie who has almost as good stats so far this season in Pekka Rinne of the Nashville Predators. He deserves some Calder consideration as well. Rinne has played in eight fewer games than Mason and has slightly worse numbers (a .920 saves percentage and 2.31 GAA). These numbers are also very good. They are likely goods enough for a Calder nomination.
Rinne likely does not have the upside of Steve Mason. He is currently 26 years old, while Mason is only 20. Mason’s numbers have been compromised a bit by a bout with mononucleosis and yet they remain the better of the two.
The Montreal Canadiens are slumping. They have a 3-12 record in their last 15 games (one loss is counted as a regulation tie). Something drastic has to be done to turn the tide and end this slide. A traditional way to shake things up is to fire the coach. It doesn’t matter if the coach is truly at fault, it is a shock to the team’s system and players often have to fight to maintain or win playing time. This often turns things around (at least on a temporary basis).
There is another option that was clearly demonstrated by the Dallas Stars earlier this year. Effectively you can fire a high profile player. The Stars were slumping. They were last place in the West Conference and they parted ways with Sean Avery in a high profile manner. Although the improvement was much more complex than being driven only by Avery’s departure, if the season ended right now Dallas would make the playoffs.
When Sean Avery was suspended by the NHL in early December, the Dallas Stars were dead last in the West Conference. From that point on, things have clearly improved. They have the eighth best record in the league since the suspension and would qualify for the playoffs if the season ended today, as they are seventh in the west.
It is easy to put the blame onto Sean Avery for the bad start, but things are not that simple. Dallas’s goaltending has significantly improved. Marty Turco had been off to a pathetic start, but has turned things around. Perhaps the most significant change for the Stars has been the return of Jere Lehtinen to the lineup. Due to injury, he had played only three games before the Avery suspension. He has now appeared in 20 games and been a vital cog to the Stars.
About The Puck Stops Here
Who am I? A diehard hockey fan.
Why am I blogging? I want to.
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