One disagreement between me and much of the Detroit biased Abel to Yzerman readership who frequent Kukla’s Korner is the value of Chris Osgood. I argue that the 2009 version of Chris Osgood is far from being an elite goalie (a goalie who one could reasonably argue is among the top five or so goalies in the NHL). As a result I argue Detroit is not an elite team on a historical scale. They don’t have good enough goaltending to be one. There are no elite teams in the NHL today. Detroit may come closest to the level but their goaltending is too much of a weakness. Were Osgood to win the Stanley Cup this year, he would likely be the weakest goalie to win a cup in the NHL’s ownership of the Stanley Cup. A truly elite team on any historic level would not have such a glaring weakness.
In my watch of the playoff MVP throughout the playoffs I last picked Alexander Ovechkin of the Washington Capitals as the Conn Smythe leader, however since he has been eliminated from the playoffs it is time to pick a new leader. That player is Sidney Crosby of the Pittsburgh Penguins. Crosby leads the playoffs with 12 goals and 22 points. That gives him a one goal and one point lead over Ovechkin and a one point lead over teammate Evgeni Malkin.
I would argue that Ovechkin has still been a better overall player so far by a small margin and in an equal number of games to Crosby, but it makes no sense to have a Conn Smythe leader who was eliminated in the second round.
Faux rumors points out that three of the four teams that remain in the playoffs changed coached during the season. The Chicago Blackhawks began the season with Denis Savard coaching and quickly replaced him with Joel Quenneville, the Carolina Hurricanes replaced coach Peter Laviolette with Paul Maurice and the Pittsburgh Penguins replaced coach Michel Therrien with Dan Bylsma. Only Detroit has the coach they started the season with, as Mike Babcock remains their coach.
Faux goes on to assume the post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy is strong enough in the NHL that there will be many more teams firing coaches next year in an assumption that this coach firing caused their success because it came before it. He predicts 25-50% of coaches who start next season with a team do not finish the season.
One of the more surprising things in the playoffs so far is that goaltending has not been able to carry any team deep into the playoffs. The remaining teams do not have elite goaltending. If you made a list of the five best goaltenders in the game today, it would not include any of the remaining goalies in the playoffs. The remaining goalies are mid-level goalies at best. That is an alarming realization. How can these be the best teams in the league when none have elite goaltending?
Cam Ward of the Carolina Hurricanes is probably the best goalie still in the playoffs. He won the 2006 Conn Smythe Trophy, but it was a case of when in doubt give it to the goalie and not a case of him being deserving. Since then Ward has been a solid goalie but he has never wound up in any series Vezina races.
Since the Hall of Fame inductees for the year are announced quickly following the Stanley Cup playoffs, I like to discuss the probable inductees at some point during the playoffs. Today is as good a day as any.
There are five players who are first time Hall of Fame eligible who I think should one day be inducted. In order of the strength of their Hall of Fame credentials they are: Steve Yzerman, Brett Hull, Brian Leetch, Luc Robitaille and Dave Andreychuk. Since a maximum of four players can be inducted in any given season, it is clear that at least one of those five will get overlooked this year. Dave Andreychuk is the likely candidate.
It was suggested in the comments of my semi-final playoff predictions that referees have been helping Sidney Crosby and the Pittsburgh Penguins win in the playoffs. This is presumably because Crosby is the best North American player in the NHL and arguably the best player in the game. The NHL’s marketing is significantly tied to Crosby and the Penguins. I decided to look into these allegations and see if there might be some truth to them.
The most obvious comment that somewhat discredits this allegation is the Alexander Ovechkin should have been suspended for his knee-on-knee hit on Sergei Gonchar. If the NHL was favoring Pittsburgh, the non-suspension of Ovechkin certainly makes no sense at all. That is clearly the biggest incident that blows a hole in the theory.
The Memorial Cup, the CHL Championship tournament, began tonight in Rimouski, Quebec. Four teams are fighting for the Memorial Cup. They are the WHL Champion Kelowna Rockets, the OHL Champion Windsor Spitfires, the QMJHL Champion Drummondville Voltigeurs and the host Rimouski Oceanic. These teams play a round robin tournament and then a playoff to see who wins the cup.
Here is a look at the four teams in the order of likelihood I think they have of winning:
The second round of the playoffs is complete. I had a 2-2 record on my predictions. Add this to my first round predictions which were 5-3 and I have an overall 7-5 record. I am keeping above .500, but it is nothing spectacular.
Let’s travel onward into the semi-finals. Here are my predictions:
The second round of the Calder Cup in the AHL is completed. Here are the first round results. Now I will look at the second round.
Providence Bruins defeat Worchester Sharks 4 games to 2 Providence is the Boston Bruins farm club and Worchester is the San Jose Sharks affiliate. The Sharks were a tough opponent. They took a 1-0 and 2-.1 lead. In the end they couldn’t hold off Providence. Providence was pushed by offensive performances by Martin St Pierre (who is 2nd in playoff scoring), Brad Marchand and Vladimir Sobotka. Tuukka Rask offered good goaltending. He has a .943 saves percentage and a 1.72 GAA. In Worchester, Riley Armstrong and Dan DaSilva led the offence, with Patrick Traverse providing strong defence. Thomas Greiss was their goaltender.
Earlier in the second round, I picked Ryan Getzlaf of the Anaheim Ducks as the playoff MVP. At the time he was leading the playoffs in points. He has been passed by Alexander Ovechkin, who has a significant lead in goals (10 to 4 right now with Anaheim still playing in the third period of game six). Ovechkin leads the playoffs in points with 20 and is tied for leads in goals (with 10) and +/- (+11). This comes after a regular season where he has likely won his second straight Hart Trophy. Ovechkin has established himself as the best player in the NHL today. He is likely the most dominant player the NHL has seen since Mario Lemieux. Enjoy watching him in in his prime; it will be something hockey fans talk about for a long time.
About The Puck Stops Here
Who am I? A diehard hockey fan.
Why am I blogging? I want to.
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