In late November, I picked Brad Richards of the Dallas Stars as the Lady Byng leader. He has been surpassed in quality of play by a better Lady Byng candidate. Martin St Louis of the Tampa Bay Lightning has the same point total (63) as Richards, but plays a better defensive game. This is shown in part by the fact that Richards has the second worst +/- rating on his team at -11 (Steve Ott is -13), while St Louis has a 0 rating, which is more in line with his team. St Louis also has a slightly lower penalty minute total (8 vs. 10). This makes Martin St Louis a better Lady Byng candidate at this point.
Though Martin St Louis has never won the Lady Byng in the past, I think he should have and would have voted for him last year. Perhaps this will be the year he wins it.
When I wrote that Alexander Ovechkin has become this year’s Hart Trophy leader, a debate started in the comments about the defensive merits of Alexander Ovechkin and Sidney Crosby. Neither of the two are defensive stars who are likely to be Selke Trophy nominees. Both provide most of their value to their teams as offensive players. More than likely any Hart Trophy race between the two of them (and this year’s race definitely has other strong candidates - I wouldn’t be picking Crosby as runner up at this point) would be decided upon offensive differences and not defensive ones.
Both Ovechkin and Crosby are the top offensive talents on their teams. It would be a waste of their talents for either to be used regularly in top defensive situations. Neither are frequent penalty killers on their teams. Ovechkin has only spent about two minutes killing penalties so far this season. Crosby is more frequently used in penalty killing situations, but is 12th on his team in terms of penalty kill time. That is a choice on how to use players and little more.
The Oren Koules and Len Barrie reign of error is officially over in Tampa Bay. Since buying the Tampa Bay Lightning, they managed to create a circus atmosphere around their inconsistent management decisions. It was a lack of money that brought this to an end. It was never clear that they had enough money to run an NHL team, given how they had to finance their purchase of the team by a private loan from outgoing owner Bill Davidson. This loan was eventually defaulted upon and that led to the sale of the team. In under two years, the Koules ownership managed to kill any momentum from their 2004 Stanley Cup victory and saw attendance at Tampa Bay attendance decline.
The new owner is Jeffrey Vinik. He is a Boston hedge fund manager. Although we have no idea what will happen under Vinik, it is highly likely to be a better situation than the Koules ownership.
The trade deadline is still almost a month away. It is on March 3rd. With a roster freeze during the Olympics, teams have begun trading early. Perhaps the biggest trade of the deadline period occurred last night. The Atlanta Thrashers traded Ilya Kovalchuk and Anssi Salmela to the New Jersey Devils for Johnny Oduya, Niclas Bergfors, Patrice Cormier and the 2010 Devils first round draft pick. This trade is seen as disappointment for the Thrashers who find themselves forced to trade a star player who is about to become an unrestricted free agent for the second time in recent memory (Marian Hossa in 2008 was the other). Under the circumstances, they did well.
I think they would have done well in the Hossa deal as well if it were not for Angelo Esposito having knee problems. Should he recover and have a significant NHL career, they will still come out well in the deal. The problem is that you cannot replace a talent like Kovalchuk or Hossa at trade deadline time when they are about to leave via free agency.
The Columbus Blue Jackets announced the firing of coach Ken Hitchcock yesterday. He has been replaced by Claude Noel a longtime minor league hockey coach (with IHL, ECHL and AHL experience) who was a Blue Jackets assistant coach. He is an unknown as an NHL coach.
Ken Hitchcock is one of the most respected NHL coaches. He is 11th in all time regular season coaching wins and has won the Stanley Cup in his Dallas Stars days. He is the most successful coach in Columbus Blue Jackets history - being the only one to guide them to a playoff berth.
Ken Hitchcock teams have always played a very disciplined defensive system and are known for keeping goals against down. This season has been a bit of an anomaly. Columbus is fourth worst in goals against with 3.19 goals allowed per game. This is despite being 14th in the league in shots allowed per game.
In November, I picked Ryan Miller of the Buffalo Sabres as the leading MVP candidate and he has held that position for a good portion of the season. However, his lead on other goalies in the league is getting smaller. Miller’s saves percentage of .932 is only one point ahead of Tomas Vokoun of Florida. His goals against average is second in the league to Antti Niemi of Chicago and could soon be caught by others including Tuukka Rask of Boston. Miller is no longer the MVP of the league.
My new MVP choice is my very early season choice of Alexander Ovechkin of the Washington Capitals. A shoulder injury kept him out of eight games and dropped him from the lead, but he has had time to make up for that missed time. Ovechkin is currently second in points in the league with 77 (one behind Henrik Sedin of Vancouver) and third in goals with 36 (one behind Patrick Marleau of San Jose and Sidney Crosby of Pittsburgh = who are tied for the lead). Ovechkin leads the NHL with a +36 +/- rating. He has the best goals and points per game totals in the league. He had been the most dominant player in the league so far this season.
The Calgary Flames seemed poised for a good season this year. They barely missed out on the Northwest Division championship last year, largely due to not dressing a full roster in the stretch drive due to salary cap problems. This year looked like they could do even better. Miikka Kiprusoff looked ready to improve his numbers and get closer to the Vezina Trophy level he had played at in the past. Jay Bouwmeester was added to an already talented defence including Dion Phaneuf and Robyn Regehr, to give Calgary a defence that could be the league’s best. Jarome Iginla gave the team a strong scoring threat and players like Olli Jokinen and Daymond Langkow offered some depth. This was a team that appeared to be in contention.
For the first couple months of the season, that prediction appeared to be roughly on the mark and then a very rough stretch hit in January. Calgary has lost ten of their last eleven games. Their only win came against bottom feeding Edmonton, who had not won at all in 2010 so far until last night. If the season ended right now, Calgary would be dropped out of the playoffs as they sit in ninth in the West Conference.
Last year the Boston Bruins had the best record in the East Conference. They finished with 116 points, only one point back of first overall San Jose. This year has not gone as well. Boston currently has a 23-30 record (with nine regulation tie points). That places them in 11th place in the East Conference. They are only two points back from a playoff berth, but they are in the middle of a group of eight teams that are separated by three points and thus have significant competition for that final playoff spot. Why is this year`s team not doing as well as last year`s did?
To answer that question let`s start by looking at last year`s team. When we looked at team Corsi Numbers (puck possession numbers) from last year we see the Boston Bruins are near the middle of the pack. They directed about as many shots at their opponent`s goal as they had directed at their own. The difference for Boston last year was goaltending. Tim Thomas won the Vezina Trophy and was by far the best goaltender in the NHL.
During the NHL season, trades are few and far between until the trade deadline. The deadline this year is March 3rd. Although that is still over a month away, there is a trade freeze during the Olympic break from February 12th to 28th. That leaves only three days for trades after the Olympics. Thus it was expected that trade deadline deals will begin before the Olympic break. They have and the Toronto Maple leafs are at the centre of it all.
Toronto has acquired Jean-Sebastien Giguere from the Anaheim Ducks in exchange for Vesa Toskala and Jason Blake. Giguere has not had a successful last year and a half but the talent is there. As recently as 2008 he was clearly one of the top goalies in the NHL. Last season, he suffered through the death of his father and it affected him on the ice. He lost the Anaheim number one goalie job to Jonas Hiller and has not been given a chance to play regularly since.
Nearly a week ago, Ken Campbell of the Hockey News wrote an article titled Kovalchuk Saga Shows Lockout Was A Farce. Hos premise is that the purpose of the lockout was to keep players with their current team, when the opposite is clearly the case.
The two major changes that were made during the lockout were a salary cap and a reduction in free agency ages. Both of which are moves that are going to increase player turnover. A salary cap will force teams to part with players that they otherwise would not want to part with in order to stay below the cap. Lower free agency ages will allow players the chance to leave a team on their own volition at an earlier age as well. The idea that a CBA designed to increase player movement can be judged as a failure because it lead to Kovalchuk’s likely departure from Atlanta is totally misguided.
About The Puck Stops Here
Who am I? A diehard hockey fan.
Why am I blogging? I want to.
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