The Puck Stops Here
A Strategic Canuck Mistake
by PuckStopsHere on 05/04/13 at 06:52 PM ET
Comments (3)
The Vancouver Canucks have played two games against the San Jose Sharks in the playoffs so far and lost them both. The second game was an overtime loss. While there are many reasons to explain their losses - luck being a major one - one significant reason that I haven't seen discussed is the lack of faith the Canucks have in their fourth line. Of all players who have two games played in the playoffs Andrew Ebbett and Dale Weise have the least playing time. They are Canucks fourth liners.
Ebbett has averaged less than four and a half minutes a game and Weise less than six minutes. This shortened bench forces the rest of the Canuck forwards to increase their playing time and is hard on their stamina. A team with stamina issues typically allows more goals at the end of games and that usually causes them to lose those games. Yesterday they allowed a tying goal in the final minute of regulation and then lost in overtime. In game one they lost with three unanswered goals in the second half of the game (two in the third period). These are symptoms of stamina issues brought on by a needlessly shortened bench. The Vancouver Canucks would be well advised to play their fourth line more - perhaps using players they can trust in more situations then Ebbett and Weise. It is a simple strategic move that will counteract some of the problems they have seen in the first two games of the series.
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Best Non-Playoff Team
by PuckStopsHere on 05/03/13 at 09:09 PM ET
Comments (10)
It is kind of a backhanded compliment to be the best team that missed the playoffs (it's a lot like being the prettiest fat girl in school). Nevertheless as I watch the playoffs there are a few teams that look like they have been lucky to make the playoffs. They managed to fluke their way in after 48 games, but I doubt they would make playoffs in a full length 82 game season. I look out at the teams the missed the playoffs and see a few that would probably do better than some of the teams that did make the playoffs. The non-playoff team that I think would have been the toughest playoff team is the Tampa Bay Lightning.
The finished second last in the East Conference. They only won 18 out of 48 games but I think they would be the best of the non-playoff teams if they made playoffs. Offensively this team is led by the two highest scorers in the NHL. Martin St Louis won the scoring title and Steve Stamkos was second. Never before has a team that missed the playoffs had the top two scorers in the league. When you shorten the benches in the playoffs the value of talented offensive stars increases. Tampa doesn't have great offensive depth but they do have further valuable offensive players including Vincent LeCavalier and Ted Purcell. In fact Tampa was the third highest scoring team in the league this season.
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Dallas Stars Hire GM Jim Nill
by PuckStopsHere on 05/01/13 at 01:31 AM ET
Comments (1)
One significant story I haven't written about yet that occurred at the end of the regular season is the change in general managers in Dallas. Joe Nieuwendyk was fired. He was hired in 2009 and never managed to qualify for the playoffs. He was a prime example of a star player who was rushed into a position above his qualifications and struggled there. In fact when he was hired I wrote:
Joe Nieuwendyk will be the next GM of the Dallas Stars. He has a relatively short resume, which is common for an NHL star who gets that position. It is also common for somebody who was on the fast track to become an NHL executive as an ex-NHL star to never become a great NHL GM. That would not be a good thing for the Dallas Stars if Nieuwendyk follows that likely path.
That pretty much captured Nieuwendyk's reign as GM. He wasn't a great GM and he didn't have any real success with the Dallas Stars. Perhaps it was a learning experience and Nieuwendyk is now qualified to be an NHL GM if he ever gets a second chance.
Dallas is likely on the right track now with the signing of their new GM Jim Nill.
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First Round Playoff Predictions
by PuckStopsHere on 04/30/13 at 01:39 AM ET
Comments (4)
The Stanley Cup playoffs are upon us after a shortened season. The shortened season has been somewhat unpredictable. Random chance has shuffled the standings a bit from the way it probably should have been. Random chance is more significant than in normal seasons because it was only 48 games long. The first round of the playoffs will be over in four to seven games so it should be clear that random chance is even more significant now than it was in the regular season and it was clearly visible in the final regular season statistics.
Here are my predictions for the eight first round series:
Pittsburgh Penguins defeat New York Islanders. The Islanders are the playoff team that is most likely to be there. They are the only playoff team that had a losing record at home in the regular season. They don't have what it takes to be a successful playoffs team. Pittsburgh is the most likely team to win the Stanley Cup playoffs. This shouldn't be a close series. Pittsburgh's biggest question mark is the health of Sidney Crosby, their best player, but with or without his presence, the pens should win this series.
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If I Had An Award Ballot
by PuckStopsHere on 04/29/13 at 12:45 AM ET
Comments (17)
The regular season completed today with Ottawa's victory over Boston. Now I am going to post my traditional if I had an award ballot post, where I list who I would have voted for if I had a vote in the NHL Awards that most interest me.
Calder Trophy: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau Florida Panthers 2. Nail Yakupov Edmonton Oilers 3. Jonas Brodin Minnesota Wild. Here is where I picked Huberdeau for the award. He did very well in a bad situation with few talented teammates. This forced Huberdeau into a tough role and he still scored. I think the shortened season affected this trophy race and with a full length season it would probably look very different from the way it looks right now. The top rookies would have been scouted better by opposition and some would not hold up as well to the increased pressure that comes with it. Young players may have spent the first twenty or thirty games getting comfortable in their NHL role and now are ready to shine. I am not convinced this grouping of players will be the best threesome of this season's rookies but they are the ones who showed us the most in their first NHL season.
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Islanders Make Playoffs
by PuckStopsHere on 04/27/13 at 07:35 PM ET
Comments (3)
I have written a couple posts about teams that are having results that break from recent history by qualifying or not qualifying for the playoffs. The Toronto Maple Leafs are an example of a team that made the playoffs that is a change from their recent past and the Philadelphia Flyers missing the playoffs are an example of a team that has regularly made playoffs recently. The biggest surprise playoff qualifier so far is likely the New York Islanders. They last qualified for the playoffs in 2007.
I think the Islanders are an example of a team that has benefitted from the shortened season. I do not see them as a team that could sustain this level of play in an 82 game season. They don't have the talent but they have improved from their worst days and are good enough to get hot for a while and thus make playoffs in a shortened season. The Isles qualified for playoffs with such a streak. In their first eleven games in April they did not lose any games in regulation. They had 8 wins and 3 regulation tie losses. A run of 19 points out of a possible 22 is very strong and that is what cemented their playoff berth. Unfortunately for the team they lost their final three games, so it looks like their hot streak has come to an end before the playoffs begin.
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I NOW Consider Sergei Gonchar A Hall Of Famer
by PuckStopsHere on 04/22/13 at 11:53 PM ET
Comments (68)
I try to monitor what time in a player's career he becomes a clear Hall of Famer. At what point is he a Hall of Fame player regardless of what happens in the rest of his career? I think Sergei Gonchar has passed that point.
Gonchar has been one of the better defencemen in the league for well over a decade. He has never been the best defenceman in the league but he was good enough to make the NHL Second Team All Star twice. Had he been stronger defensively he probably would have been a Norris Trophy winner at some point. His defensive play has improved over his career but it was a weakness fifteen years ago. His career numbers have reached the point that they are clear Hall of Fame numbers and this is remarkable given the fact that he played in a relatively low scoring era with the loss of 1.5 seasons due to lockouts (and possibly the 1994 lockout as that shortened his rookie season). In a different higher scoring era, a player of Gonchar's ability would have even more impressive career numbers.
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Maple Leafs Make Playoffs
by PuckStopsHere on 04/21/13 at 07:08 PM ET
Comments (9)
Nine of the sixteen playoff spots this season have been clinched. The remainder will clinch over the next few days. I think we have found the most unlikely playoff team based upon recent history. The Toronto Maple Leafs have clinched their first playoff berth since 2004. This is the first time they will appear in the playoffs since the adoption of the salary cap. In part this happened in part because Toronto no longer was able to use their financial muscle to buy up enough free agents to keep their team barely at playoff level with little plan of how to build a stronger team. The salary cap forced them to build a legitimate contender and it is a long process.
Their process got underway properly when they hired Brian Burke. It took him the better part of four seasons to right the ship and as soon as they were ready to make the playoffs, he was fired. Burke's job wasn't over but it was on the right track and the new Leaf ownership wasn't smart enough to see it.
Dave Nonis is the new Leaf GM. He has most of his experience in Brian Burke systems in Vancouver and Toronto. Hopefully he has learned enough to follow Burke's process through fruition.
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Flyers Miss Playoffs
by PuckStopsHere on 04/20/13 at 11:42 PM ET
Comments (10)
In a shortened season there is a greater uncertainty in the final standings than normal. A run of good or bad luck will have a bigger impact in the standings than it does in an 82 game season. Perhaps the team that will miss the playoffs that is the biggest change from recent results is the Philadelphia Flyers. The Flyers have made the playoffs each of the last five years and advanced past the first round four of those times. In 2010 they made the Stanley Cup finals. This year they will watch the playoffs on television.
The Flyers currently stand in 12th place in the East Conference. They have three games remaining and are seven points back of the eighth place New York Rangers. They have no mathematical chance of making the playoffs this year.
On the short term the Flyers biggest reason for missing the playoffs is their goaltending. Ilya Bryzgalov has been their number one goalie and he isn't having a strong season. He is posting a .898 saves percentage and a 2.84 GAA. In fact newly acquired Steve Mason is posting better numbers so far this year and he is not having a strong season either. The bigger problem is the opportunity cost that came with making Bryzgalov their number one goalie. It has forced the trading of Vezina candidate Sergei Bobrovsky to Columbus. It also forced the trading of Mike Richards and Jeff Carter who were significant parts of Los Angeles's Stanley Cup victory last year. With these pieces Philadelphia would almost certainly be a playoff team.
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Top Defenceman
by PuckStopsHere on 04/19/13 at 01:17 AM ET
Comments (1)
A little over a week ago I picked Shea Weber of the Nashville Predators as the top defenceman so far this season. He is a very talented defenceman who had come into form after a slow start and was moving up into the top scoring defencemen this season while maintaining his top defensive play in a tough situation. Since that time Weber has gone -4 with no points scored. When I picked Weber, he was replacing Kris Letang of the Pittsburgh Penguins who was my previous pick and out injured. Letang soon returned from injury and has five points and is +3 since that time. I think that Kris Letang has re-established himself as the Norris Trophy leader this season.
Probably there shouldn't be a Norris Trophy winner this season. Nobody is having a year that is worthy of the award. This is partly due to a shortened season and partly due to injury to top defencemen. Letang is second in scoring among defencemen with 33 points in 31 games. His Pittsburgh team has 43 games played. The only defenceman with more points than Letang is PK Subban of Montreal. He too has missed some games with an early season holdout and doesn't play as well defensively or as big a role as Letang does. Other candidates for best defenceman exist including Ryan Suter, Shea Weber, Kimmo Timonen, Zdeno Chara and Dion Phaneuf. While they may have been good enough to be all stars it is hard to call any the top defenceman in the league this year.
It is kind of hard to say any player this season is worthy of the Norris Trophy, but since we must pick someone, I pick Kris Letang. Yes he has missed time to injury, but I think he has been more valuable to his team than any other defenceman in the league has.
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About The Puck Stops Here
The Puck Stops Here was founded during the 2004/05 lockout as a place to rant about hockey. The original site contains over 1000 posts, some of which were also published on FoxSports.com.
Who am I? A diehard hockey fan.
Why am I blogging? I want to.
Why are you reading it? ???
Email: y2kfhl@hotmail.com
