by Forechecker on 01/14/09 at 03:07 PM ET
Already known to hockey stats geeks as a site rich in data, Behind the Net also features occasional analytical pieces as well. This morning, Hawerchuk takes a look at the chances that a given Canadian Junior player has of making the NHL, based on his offensive contributions and age:
In the past, I’ve examined how scoring translates from junior hockey to the NHL, but I haven’t really considered how likely it is to get left by the wayside and not make the transition to the NHL. To produce the chart below, I normalized all junior scoring to an arbitrary level (QMJHL, 1997) and then looked at how likely players are to play 60 games in the NHL before age 24 based on their scoring.
Read on for the usual geeky goodness from BtN. If you’re interested in “how scoring translates from junior hockey to the NHL”, I strongly recommend his earlier work on League Equivalencies (PDF) posted at HockeyAnalytics.com.
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