by Forechecker on 02/17/09 at 05:55 PM ET
A few days ago I noted the heroic efforts by the folks over at HockeyBuzzHogWash.com, as they attempt to keep a scorecard to determine just how worthwhile the supposedly “inside information” is that’s provided Eklund over at HockeyBuzz. I titled that post “Even a broken clock is right twice a day”, and keeping with that theme, I’ve come up with a set of trade deadline scenarios which are likely to be more accurate than the 3.6%** he’s running as of this writing.
So here are the rules I followed…
1. I begin with a list of all players eligible for Unrestricted Free Agency this summer, from teams currently outside the playoffs.
2. I eliminated players who have cleared waivers on their way down from the NHL, are on injured reserve, or have already been traded this year (i.e. Brad May and Wade Brookbank).
3. For each player, they are given 17 “rumors”. One indicating that they’ll stay with their current team, and the other 16 have them going to a team currently in the playoffs.
By the end of Trade Deadline Day, each of these 1,768 possibilities will be weighed against the results. Now I realize that simply dumping that list on you all at once is a bit much, so in the meantime I’ve crafted something that can dish out these little nuggets of inside hockey scoop one morsel at a time…
While this won’t update with each refresh of your browser, check back occasionally to get the latest & greatest tidbits. You never know which ones will come true! My guess is that I’ll be right around 5% correct when it’s all said and done.
**Note: I could make 30 separate “rumors” which have a specific player going to each team in the NHL, and I’ve got roughly a 3.3% chance of being right (barring retirement or a jump to the KHL).
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