Kukla's Korner

Category: NHL-Statistical-Analysis

No confidence in “Goalie Confidence”

From the Battle of Alberta:

...what I think is probably the worst kind of stat, and the kind that turns people off of paying attention to new ones altogether: the stat that is advertised as measuring Thing A, but is massively affected by Things B, C, D, and E.

The common stat that’s the best example of this is ranking goalies by their raw Win totals. For a goalie to get a Win, his team needs to create shots and scoring chances, which he can’t control. He also can’t control the performance of the guy in the opposite net.

Watch as Matt then vivisects the Hockey News over their “Goalie Confidence Index”.

 

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Western Conference Predictions

So who’s the best in the West???

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Eastern Conference Predictions

It’s a game we all play, so here we go with my projections for the Eastern Conference…

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Which snipers really need their setup man?

Great offensive performers in the NHL often come in pairs; think Wayne Gretzky & Jari Kurri, or Mario Lemieux & Jaromir Jagr.  When it comes to today’s prominent goal-scorers, however, which ones are the most dependent on a particular playmaker to set them up?  To answer that question, I dug through the goal-scoring details from the 2007-8 season and took a look at the leading snipers, to answer the question of who fed them a Primary Assist most often…

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The Real 2007-8 NHL MVP?

As we prepare to drop the puck on the 2008-9 regular season, it’s worth reflecting on some of the great individual performances from last year.  There were certainly some goal-scoring wonders like Alex Ovechkin and Ilya Kovalchuk, playmaking superstars like Pavel Datsyuk and Joe Thornton, and of course the heroic goaltending of Martin Brodeur and Roberto Luongo.  But which NHL star actually turned in a true MVP performance, contributing the most to his team’s success?

None of the above, that’s who.

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  Tags: player+contribution

Here Comes the Forechecker

First off I have to say it’s a great honor to join the gang here at Kukla’s Korner; my only wish is that Paul had extended the invitation before I spent two days wrestling with my Old Blogger template over Labor Day weekend.  For those of you who are new to On the Forecheck, you can look forward to a combination of Nashville Predators commentary and a healthy dose of NHL statistical analysis.  On occasion, I’ll dive into the world of Fantasy Hockey and chime in on business issues facing the league as well.

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