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Top 20 Seasons By Point Shares

As I look into the point share method developed by Justin Kubatko of hockey-reference.com, I have listed the top 20 seasons by the offensive, defensive and goaltending portions of the system.  It is now time to look at the top seasons by the total system, which is the sum of the three portions.

Here are the top 20 seasons ever by the point shares system:

Top 20 Seasons By Point Shares
Rank  
Player   
Season
Pt Shrs
1Bobby Orr22.92

1970/71

2Bobby Orr21.46

1974/75

3Roberto Luongo20.85

2003/04

4Bobby Orr20.25

1971/72

5Bernie Parent19.94

1973/74

6Wayne Gretzky19.82

1981/82

7Wayne Gretzky19.62

1984/85

8Wayne Gretzky19.60

1983/84

9Bobby Orr19.57

1969/70

10Mario Lemieux19.56

1988/89

11Bobby Orr19.42

1973/74

12Dominik Hasek18.63

1997/98

13Bernie Parent18.58

1974/75

14Phil Esposito18.53

1970/71

15Roberto Luongo18.51

2005/06

16Tony Esposito18.22

1973/74

17Wayne Gretzky17.95

1982/83

18Wayne Gretzky17.60

1986/87

19Jose Theodore17.40

2001/02

20Mario Lemieux17.37

1995/96



This list contains no seasons at all in the original six days.  This is in part because fewer games per season were played, but also because some of the numbers used in the more accurate, more modern calculations were not gathered.

Bobby Orr leads this list.  He is the only defenceman to appear on it and he appears five times, including the top two seasons of all time.  I will look more carefully at Orr in a future post and debate whether this means he had the best seasons in hockey history or not. 

Wayne Gretzky is the most prominent forward on this list.  He also appears five times and has the three best seasons by a forward according to point shares.  Amazingly half of the seasons on this list belong to either Bobby Orr or Wayne Gretzky.  Mario Lemieux has two seasons on this list.  Phil Esposito has one.

The goaltenders are selected differently depending upon their era.  From 1983/84 onward when shot data was recorded, it selects players who faced a lot of shots.  This is not necessarily the best goaltenders, but rather the hardest working ones.  This is two Roberto Luongo seasons and one each from Dominik Hasek and Jose Theodore.  Before this time it selects goaltenders who played behind good defences and faced very few shots.  In this period, since shot data is not known, it is assumed that all goaltenders face the same number of shots.  Those goalies who faced few shots were given credit as though they faced a league average number.  This includes two Bernie Parent seasons and one from Tony Esposito.

The seasons selected by the point share system are good seasons.  The goaltending seasons selected are the least reliable.  They select recent goalies who faced a lot of shots and before shots are available they select goalies who faced few shots.  A proper system should not be biased as much by shot totals and definitely not in contradictory ways depending upon era.  The seasons from position players are more clearly the best seasons of all time.  There is question as to whether or not the defensive portion is meaningful and as a result it makes the defenceman seasons less reliable than the forward ones.  The forward ones are most reliable, but even they have questions in the arbitrary valuation of assists relative to goals.  The point share system attempts to answer an important question, namely quantitatively how many points were various players worth to their team, but it doesn’t give a definitive answer.  It has several problems that must be addressed before that definitive answer is possible.

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Comments

Lindas1st's avatar

It easy to see why they are both (Gretzky & Orr) considered they best ever at the positions. They were just so offensively dominant compared to thier contemporaries that it probably didn;t matter what they did in the defensive zone. Although, these two controlled the play so much they always seem to have the puck and weren’t in the d-zone that much.

Posted by Lindas1st from New England on 09/27/11 at 03:28 PM ET

Bossy_Rules's avatar

I think this post has the wrong title.

Posted by Bossy_Rules on 10/03/11 at 02:34 PM ET

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imageThe Puck Stops Here was founded during the 2004/05 lockout as a place to rant about hockey. The original site contains over 1000 posts, some of which were also published on FoxSports.com.

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