Petshark: Talking Stick
by petshark on 10/17/11 at 09:04 PM ET
Turn the page. Turn it around. Turn up the volume. Okay, not sure how that last one works but I think it is time for the Sharks to take a turn for the better. Yes yes, they did win one already but that was ages ago. We’re ready for another.
The odds of losing three in a row are not a lot better than the odds of winning three in a row. I guess you could say three’s a charm. The Ducks already won three in a row, has to be harder to win four, right?
The odds of the Sharks starting two seasons in a row by winning one and losing three in a row have to be very long.
Last season, the Ducks lost their fifth game. It might seem like a lot to ask for them to do that again, but it is entirely different this year. They have won three in a row, whereas last season they started with a win and three losses. So you see, for them to lose tonight would not follow any crazy impossible pattern at all.
Sharks and Ducks recent season starting scores:
4-2, 2-3, 0-4, 1-4 (Ducks 2010)
1-4, 1-2, 0-1, 2-4 (Ducks 2011)
3-2, 4-2, 5-2, 4-2 (Sharks 2010)
3-6, 0-1, 4-2 (Sharks 2011)
I see no pattern to fret about. I mean, the odds can only be in the Sharks favor that the game will NOT end 4-2 Ducks, right? I see nothing to make me say “oh no, here we are in the dread 6 game losing streak that cannot be broken without a loss to the Oilers!” No, nothing like that.
Odds are not against the Sharks tonight.
Much more significant than trying to see if history will or will not repeat itself, the team looked better against the Blues, even though they lost. They had their bobbles and turnovers and whiffs, but they had fewer, they hit more passes, they just looked better.
The top line is due for some top-line like behavior. Thornton is overdue, if not to earn some points then at least to give the crowd some wows.
I like Mitchell on the second line, if the goal is to find the best available player for that line. I would rather see him working on building chemistry with Handzus, which is where he will be more useful in the long run, but if the second line needs a fast guy, Mitchell works.
I also like McGinn on the third line. I think this is the best use of him right now. I don’t know if Andrew Murray is the most obvious replacement for Mitchell there. I think I would try Wingels again. Just to see. I like how Andrew Murray and Desjardins were playing together. That should be fostered.
If I have seen enough of these lower lines to start getting a sense of them, I imagine the coaching staff has a very good idea of how to use what they have, with or without Havlat. Evidently, Havlat’s return has been pencilled in, just not tonight. Friday, they say.
David Pollak reported that Wingels was practicing with the third line, Mitchell on the second and McGinn back on the fourth with Desi and Winchester. Also, Niemi will start, finally. I can’t expect that last to be an enormous difference maker. He hasn’t played in a really long time. I’m still happy about seeing him back.
So I don’t expect a blowout, I don’t expect an easy win. I do expect a better game from the Sharks, not just because they owe the Ducks one. I think they’ll have a better game because it is time, they should be just a little better, and I think that is all they need to pull out a win.
Filed in: , San Jose Sharks, | Petshark: Talking Stick | Permalink
Tags: anaheim+ducks, andrew+desjardins, andrew+murray, antti+niemi, jamie+mcginn, martin+havlat, silly+prediction+methods, tommy+wingels, torrey+mitchell
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About Petshark: Talking Stick
Native of Northern California. Hockey fan since 1998... sort of... there's a hiatus in there that I still can't explain.
I want to know about anything and everything related to the sport and the spectacle. I watch, I react, I write it down.
My interest in the Sharks was initially a matter of geographic convenience and regional loyalty because that seemed to be how it worked. I had no prior interest (at all-- AT ALL) in professional sports of any kind. When I met hockey, it might have set off a chain reaction of general sports fandom. It hasn't, I don't think it will. At all.
Since then, that interest developed into full blown (mostly sort of usually almost completely) exclusive loyalty to the Sharks.
I started blogging a couple years ago on wordpress. I still occasionally put things there that I don't think fit here because they are not about the Sharks. Wherever my words wander, here on Kuklas Korner, they will (usually) hang on to a teal thread.
I can be found in cyberspace on Twitter @petshark47, or emailed at firstname.lastname@example.org