Kukla's Korner

Abel to Yzerman

GDT - Game #80: Red Wings host Predators (7:30)

The Red Wings will face another frantic hockey club tonight when they host the Predators at the JLA.  On March 29, NSH beat DET 4-3, for the third time this season; with the win, NSH took a one-point lead over STL for seventh place in the W.C.  However, since that game, NSH has gone 1-3-0 to drop into ninth place with only two games remaining. NSH are two points behind ANA and STL for one of the final two playoff spots in the W.C.

DET has played inspired hockey in their last two contests, winning both games after having lost three straight. DET are coming into tonights game after a 3-1 win at BUF on Monday. Marian Hossa scored two goals, and reached the 40-goal mark for the third time in his career. Also in the BUF game, Chris Osgood made 32 saves to earn his 389th career victory and tie Dominik Hasek for 10th on the NHL list. Nicklas Lidstrom, scored an empty-netter for his 227th career goal, moving him into a tie with Kevin Hatcher and Steve Duchesne for 12th among NHL defensemen.

Standings:

DET:  79 g/p 51 19 9 111 pts (2 in Conf, 1 in Central), 290 gf, 233 ga, Last 10 6-4-0, Streak Won 2

NSH:  80 g/p 39 33 8 86 pts (9 in Conf, 5 in Central), 205 gf, 222 ga, Last 10 4-3-3, Streak Lost 1


Stats (rank):

DET:  .703 point% (3), 3.60 g/g (1), 2.91 ga/g (21), 1.23 5-5 f/a (2), 25.4 pp (1), 78.0 pk (26), 36.4 s/g (1), 27.8 sa/g (2), 55.4 fo% (1).

NSH:  .538 point% (19), 2.50 g/g (24), 2.71 ga/g (10), 0.94 5-5 f/a (20), 15.6 pp (26), 83.6 pk (4), 28.9 s/g (19), 29.4 sa/g (10), 52.2 fo% (3).


Player Stats:
DET Skaters:
POS Player GP G A PTS +/-

C Pavel Datsyuk 78 32 65 97 38

RW Marian Hossa 73 40 31 71 27
C Henrik Zetterberg 74 30 40 70 15
RW Johan Franzen 68 33 25 58 23
D Nicklas Lidstrom 76 15 43 58 33
D Brian Rafalski 75 10 47 57 20
RW Jiri Hudler 79 23 32 55 7
D Niklas Kronwall 77 5 45 50 4
RW Mikael Samuelsson 78 19 21 40 1
RW Daniel Cleary 71 14 24 38 2
C Valtteri Filppula 77 11 27 38 10
RW Tomas Holmstrom 50 14 23 37 22
RW Tomas Kopecky 76 6 13 19 -7
C Kris Draper 78 7 10 17 -13
D Brett Lebda 62 6 10 16 9
D Brad Stuart 64 2 13 15 -1
D Andreas Lilja 60 2 11 13 13
LW Kirk Maltby 75 5 6 11 -9
LW * Ville Leino 13 5 4 9 5 6
D Derek Meech 39 2 5 7 -12
D Jonathan Ericsson 16 1 3 4 0
RW Aaron Downey 4 1 1 2 0
C Darren Helm 16 0 1 1 -7
RW Darren McCarty 13 1 0 1 -2
LW Justin Abdelkader 2 0 0 0 0
D Chris Chelios 26 0 0 0 1

DET Goalies:
Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT
Chris Osgood 44 26 8 7 3.10 .887
Ty Conklin 39 25 10 2 2.50 .910

NSH Skaters:
POS Player GP G A PTS +/- 
RW J.P. Dumont 80 15 46 61 0
C Jason Arnott 63 30 23 53 2
D Shea Weber 79 22 29 51 4
RW Martin Erat 71 17 33 50 -7
D Ryan Suter 80 7 38 45 -14
C David Legwand 73 20 22 42 -3
RW Joel Ward 77 17 18 35 0
LW Steve Sullivan 39 10 19 29 3
C Radek Bonk 64 9 16 25 -9
D Dan Hamhuis 80 3 22 25 -8
LW Vernon Fiddler 76 11 6 17 -11
LW * Ryan Jones 44 7 9 16 1

RW Jordin Tootoo 70 4 12 16 -14

RW Jerred Smithson 80 4 9 13 -6
D Kevin Klein 61 4 8 12 0
D Greg Zanon 80 4 7 11 6
D Ville Koistinen 36 3 7 10 -1
C Scott Nichol 41 3 6 9 1
RW * Patric Hornqvist 28 2 5 7 -3
LW Antti Pihlstrom 53 2 5 7 -1
C * Cal O’Reilly 9 3 2 5 2
D Greg de Vries 69 1 4 5 -13
RW Wade Belak 53 0 2 2 -1
RW Jed Ortmeyer 2 0 0 0 0
C * Mike Santorelli 7 0 0 0 -5
D * Alexander Sulzer 2 0 0 0 0

NSH Goalies:
Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT
Pekka Rinne 50 28 14 4 2.29 .920
Dan Ellis 35 11 19 4 2.93 .900

Injury Report:
DET:
Andreas Lilja (D) Concussion (Sidelined indefinitely)

NSH:
Wade Belak (RW) Lower body injury (Sidelined indefinitely)
David Legwand (C) Cheekbone injury (Mid-April)
Martin Erat (LW/RW) Broken leg (Sidelined indefinitely)
Antti Pihlstrom (LW/RW) Upper body injury (Day to day)

HOT and NOT:
DET: Hot:

Nicklas Lidstrom (D) 7 pts in last 4 GP

Marian Hossa (RW) 5 pts in last 2 GP

Pavel Datsyuk (C/LW) 8 pts in last 4 GP

Tomas Holmstrom (RW/LW) 4 pts in last 2 GP
Henrik Zetterberg (C) 2 pts in last 2 GP

Chris Osgood (G) 2-0-0, 1.51, .946 in last 2 GPI

DET: Not Hot:
Dan Cleary (LW/RW) 0 pts in last 7 GP
Valtteri Filppula (C/W) 0 pts in last 5 GP
Mikael Samuelsson (RW) 0 pts in last 3 GP
Ty Conklin (G) 1-2-1, 3.59, .875 in last 4 GPI

NSH: Hot:
Jason Arnott (C) 4 pts in last 2 GP
Steve Sullivan (LW) 8 pts in last 6 GP
Jean-Pierre Dumont (RW/LW) 2 pts in last 2 GP
Radek Bonk (C) 2 pts in last 2 GP
Joel Ward (RW/LW) 10 pts in last 11 GP

NSH: Not Hot:
Ryan Suter (D) 1 pts in last 4 GP
Shea Weber (D) 1 pts in last 4 GP

Pekka Rinne (G) 1-1-0, 3.39, .860 in last 2 GPI

Jeff Sagarin NHL Ratings, from USAToday.com:

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL .25 goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by .57 goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .42 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of .25 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.


NHL 2008-2009 through 2009 April 8 Wednesday
HOME ADVANTAGE=  0.36       RATING   W   L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  ELO_CHESS   |  PREDICTOR
3 Detroit Red Wings     =  4.76   51 28   3.99(  19)  13   8 |  28 16 |  4.76   2 |  4.76   3
20 Nashville Predators   =  3.92   39 41   4.05(  6)  11 18 |  21 29 |  3.98   17 |  3.86   20

The AccuScore Game Forecast from The Sporting News:

Nashville Predators 2.3
Detroit Red Wings 3.7

Team Win Percent Average Score Big Win Close Win
Nashville Predators 26.0% 2.3 4.9% 15.3%
Detroit Red Wings 74.0% 3.7 31.3% 24.9%

Fantasy Spotlight G A PTS
Jason Arnott 0.42 0.38 0.8
Pavel Datsyuk 0.37 0.65 1.02

Probability of a Fight: 15.0%

For reasons known only to your Red Wings beatwriters, none of them deemed the Red Wings practice lines newsworthy, hence I cannot tell you what they were.  Helene St. James did post some news items, at the FREEP:

Brian Rafalski, on the other hand, will be back tonight against the Predators after missing four games because of a groin injury.

“He’ll get three games under his belt to get up and running,” coach Mike Babcock said. “The other thing that’s real positive about it is, he had a real good rest.”

As for Lilja, Babcock said “you just go like he’s not here and ideally you play well enough and long enough that he gets back.”

Ideally the Wings would have had Lilja with Jonathan Ericsson as the third pairing in the playoffs, with Nicklas Lidstrom and Rafalski as the top pair and Niklas Kronwall and Brad Stuart rounding out the top four.

Instead, Babcock said Ericsson will be partnered with Brett Lebda, whose strengths are skating and moving the puck. The one positive to Lilja’s absence is that it allowed Ericsson to be called up from Grand Rapids and get in a good stretch of games. The team has been pleased with how he has acquitted himself, and he already has become a regular penalty killer.

John Glennon, The Tennessean had the following on tonights game:

The Predators should have no problem bringing a competitive edge to the game, as Nashville’s postseason aspirations almost certainly depend on beating Detroit and then beating Minnesota on Friday.

Nashville’s “tragic number’’ is three — any combination of points gained by St. Louis or squandered by Nashville would eliminate the Predators from the playoffs.

“We know we’re going to need some help, but we have to make sure we do our part — and that’s winning the next two,’’ Predators forward J.P. Dumont said. “We’ve been playing some good hockey against Detroit.’‘

Dumont believes Nashville’s success against Detroit might be an extension from last season’s playoffs, when the eighth-seeded Predators extended the Red Wings to six games in a competitive first-round series.

“We gave them a hard time and we’ve built on that,’’ Dumont said. “The style of game we play, we never quit. We just have to make sure we don’t make any turnovers.’‘

Red Wings radio broadcaster Ken Kal sees at least one other reason Nashville has played well against Detroit this season. Here’s a hint: He stands 6-foot-5 and plays goaltender.

“When I think of the Predators, I think of the great goaltenders they’ve had over the years — Tomas Vokoun and Chris Mason did well. But this Pekka Rinne, he’s been unbelievable,’’ Kal said of Rinne, who’s 2-1 against Detroit with a 2.34 goals against average and .940 save percentage.

I am working out-of-town today, so anyone that finds anything worthwhile please post a comment. Hope to be back for the LB, see you then, Bitches.

 

 

 

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Welcome to Abel to Yzerman, a Red Wing blog since 1977.  No other site on the internet has better-researched, fact-laden and better prepared discussions than A2Y.  Re-phrase: we do little research, find facts and stats highly overrated and claim little to no preparation.  There are 19 readers of A2Y. No more, no less. All of them, except maybe one, are juvenile in nature.  Reminding them of that in the comment section will only encourage them to prove that. Your suggestions and critiques are welcome: wphoulihan@gmail.com