Kukla's Korner

Abel to Yzerman

GDT - Game #75: Red Wings host Islanders (7:30)

The race for Best in the West appears to be a sprint to the finish, and it could become important if the Wings eventually play the Sharks in the WCF.  The Sharks, as good as their record indicates, do not enjoy swimming outside their home tank.  At home, SJS own an obscene record of 30-3-4; however their road record is a more mortal-like 18-12-7.  SJS have lost their games in hand against DET as they are coming off an OTL at CHI on Wed., and a 2-3 L against NSH last night.  DET and SJS each have 107 pts, but DET now sit atop the WC by virtue of their win total.

DET begin a four game homestand tonight against the NYI, and will play 6 of their remaining 8 games at the JLA; where they are 26-5-4 overall and 10-1-2 since February. Mule is en fuego; he has four goals and eight assists and is riding a six-game point streak, DET are winners of five of those games.  Hank’s next goal will give DET four players with 30 for the first time since 2001-02.

DET are attempting history tonight, trying to join BOS (1970-74) and MTL (1975-79) as the only teams with 50 wins in four straight seasons. Mike Babcock would become the first coach with four consecutive 50-win campaigns since Scotty Bowman did it while with the Canadiens in 1979.

NYI have given up 16 goals during a three-game slide, and are perilously close to their worst finish since their 52 point total in 2000-01.  The Isles are 8-26-3 on the road.


Standings:

DET:  74 g/p 49 16 9 107 pts (1 overall), 276 gf, 219 ga, Last 10 7-2-1, Streak Won 1

NYI:  73 g/p 24 41 8 56 pts (15 in Conf, 5 in Atlantic), 184 gf, 240 ga, Last 10 4-5-1, Streak Lost 3

Stats (rank):

DET:  723 point% (1), 3.65 g/g (1), 2.92 ga/g (20), 1.27 5-5 f/a (3), 26.0 pp (1) ,77.8 pk (26), 36.3 s/g (1), 27.8 sa/g (3), 55.3 fo% (1).

NYI:  .384 point% (30), 2.48 g/g (26), 3.23 ga/g (28), 0.70 5-5 f/a (30), 17.3 pp (21), 81.8 pk (14) 29.1 s/g (20), 33.0 sa/g (28), 45.6 fo% (29).


Player Stats:
DET Skaters:
POS Player GP G A PTS +/-
C Pavel Datsyuk 73 30 59 89 35
C Henrik Zetterberg 69 29 38 67 15
RW Marian Hossa 68 37 29 66 23
D Brian Rafalski 74 10 47 57 21
RW Johan Franzen 63 31 24 55 19
RW Jiri Hudler 74 22 32 54 6
D Nicklas Lidstrom 71 13 38 51 30

D Niklas Kronwall 72 4 42 46 1

RW Mikael Samuelsson 73 18 21 39 5
RW Daniel Cleary 66 14 24 38 6
C Valtteri Filppula 72 11 27 38 13
RW Tomas Holmstrom 45 14 18 32 20
RW Tomas Kopecky 71 6 13 19 -4
C Kris Draper 73 7 10 17 -12
D Brett Lebda 57 6 10 16 9
D Brad Stuart 59 1 13 14 1
D Andreas Lilja 60 2 11 13 13
LW Kirk Maltby 70 5 6 11 -8
LW * Ville Leino 13 5 4 9 5
D Derek Meech 38 2 5 7 -12
D Jonathan Ericsson 11 1 2 3 2
RW Aaron Downey 4 1 1 2 0
C Darren Helm 16 0 1 1 -7
RW Darren McCarty 13 1 0 1 -2
LW Justin Abdelkader 2 0 0 0 0
D Chris Chelios 23 0 0 0 2

DET Goalies:
Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT
Chris Osgood 40 24 6 7 3.18 .884
Ty Conklin 38 25 9 2 2.42 .912

NYI Skaters:
POS Player GP G A PTS +/-

D Mark Streit 68 15 39 54 6

C Doug Weight 44 9 26 35 -12
RW Kyle Okposo 60 17 16 33 -9
RW Trent Hunter 55 14 17 31 -8
C Frans Nielsen 50 6 22 28 0
RW Richard Park 62 12 16 28 -9
C Andy Hilbert 61 11 15 26 -2
LW Blake Comeau 47 7 17 24 -15
C * Josh Bailey 59 5 17 22 -12
LW Sean Bergenheim 55 14 8 22 -3
LW Dean McAmmond 59 5 11 16 7
D Bruno Gervais 60 3 12 15 -11
LW Jon Sim 49 9 6 15 -12
LW Jeff Tambellini 56 5 7 12 -11
D Andy Sutton 23 2 8 10 3
D Freddy Meyer 27 4 5 9 -19
RW Tim Jackman 60 4 4 8 -18
D Brendan Witt 56 0 8 8 -32
D Radek Martinek 42 3 4 7 -15
D Jack Hillen 31 1 5 6 -1
C Mike Iggulden 9 1 4 5 -1
D Thomas Pock 50 1 2 3 -12
C Nate Thompson 34 2 1 3 -6
D * Joe Callahan 16 0 2 2 5
C Mike Sillinger 7 2 0 2 -5
C Jeremy Colliton 6 0 1 1 -2
LW * Jesse Joensuu 4 1 0 1 0
RW * Kurtis McLean 4 1 0 1 1
RW * Joel Rechlicz 8 0 1 1 0
LW * Trevor Smith 5 1 0 1 -1
LW * Mitch Fritz 16 0 0 0 -3
D * Andrew MacDonald 3 0 0 0 2
D Brett Skinner 11 0 0 0 2
C Ben Walter 4 0 0 0 -2

NYI Goalies:
Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT
Joey MacDonald 44 13 24 6 3.29 .901
Yann Danis 25 9 13 2 2.65 .916
Rick DiPietro 5 1 3 0 3.52 .892

Injury Report:
DET:
Andreas Lilja (D) Concussion (Sidelined indefinitely)

NYI:
Andy Sutton (D) Broken foot (Sidelined indefinitely)
Trent Hunter (RW) Broken left ankle (Remainder of regular season)
Mike Sillinger (C) Hip surgery (Remainder of regular season)
Doug Weight (C) Sprained MCL (Late March)
Rick DiPietro (G) Swollen right knee (Remainder of regular season)
Joey MacDonald (G) Knee injury (Day to day)
Sean Bergenheim (LW/RW) Groin (Day to day)
Freddy Meyer (D) Strained groin (Sidelined indefinitely)
Kurtis McLean (RW) Leg injury (Sidelined indefinitely)

Hot and Not:
DET: HOT:
Brian Rafalski (D) 3 pts in last 2 GP

Niklas Kronwall (D) 5 pts in last 5 GP

Nicklas Lidstrom (D) 3 pts in last 3 GP

Johan Franzen (LW/C) 7 pts in last 3 GP Pavel Datsyuk (C/LW) 10 pts in last 7 GP

Marian Hossa (RW) 4 pts in last 3 GP
Ty Conklin (G) 1-1-0, 1.91, .921 in last 2 GPI

NYI: HOT:
Mark Streit (D/W) 8 pts in last 6 GP
Bruno Gervais (D) 3 pts in last 4 GP
Kyle Okposo (RW/LW) 5 pts in last 4 GP
Josh Bailey (C) 2 pts in last 2 GP
Dean McAmmond (LW/C) 3 pts in last 3 GP
Frans Nielsen (C) 7 pts in last 7 GP

NYI: NOT HOT:
Yann Danis (G) 0-2-0, 5.50, .796 in last 2 GPI

Jeff Sagarin NHL Ratings, from USAToday.com:

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL .25 goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by .57 goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .42 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of .25 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.

NHL 2008-2009 through games of 2009 March 26 Thursday
HOME ADVANTAGE=  0.37       RATING   W   L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  ELO_CHESS   |  PREDICTOR
  1 Detroit Red Wings     =  4.86   49 25   4.02(  10)  15 11 |  27 15 |  4.88   1 |  4.85   2
30 New York Islanders     =  3.20   24 49   4.01(  13)  5 17 |  10 27 |  3.10   29 |  3.28   30


The AccuScore Game Forecast from the The Sporting News:

New York Islanders 2.3
Detroit Red Wings 3.7

Team Win Percent Average Score Big Win Close Win
New York Islanders 27.0% 2.3 4.7% 16.4%
Detroit Red Wings 73.0% 3.7 31.1% 25.7%

Fantasy Spotlight G A PTS
Mark Streit 0.19 0.62 0.81
Pavel Datsyuk 0.31 0.63 0.94

Probability of a Fight: 23.0%

Khan! had line combinations from the Wings Thursday practice:

Update from Thursday’s practice: Jiri Hudler practiced at center, on a line with Mikael Samuelsson and Kirk Maltby, but coach Mike Babcock cautioned not to read anything into that. He said he just wanted to have Hudler skating with Samuelsson. Hudler said center is his natural position, one he played as a youth, but he has rarely played it as a pro, only for a few games with Grand Rapids some years back.

Here’s the lines they skated with:

Datsyuk-Zetterberg-Holmstrom
Franzen-Filppula-Hossa
Maltby-Hudler-Samuelsson
Kopecky-Draper-Cleary

Lidstrom-Rafalski
Kronwall-Stuart
Ericsson-Lebda
Meech-Chelios

Osgood (starting Friday vs. Islanders)
Conklin

John Jeansonne, New York Newsday noted: 

Veteran center Doug Weight, out since Feb. 11 with a knee injury, possibly could return to action Friday night in Detroit. Winger Sean Bergenheim, who suffered a groin injury March 10, has been practicing this week but probably won’t be cleared to play again until after the weekend.

 

 

 

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Welcome to Abel to Yzerman, a Red Wing blog since 1977.  No other site on the internet has better-researched, fact-laden and better prepared discussions than A2Y.  Re-phrase: we do little research, find facts and stats highly overrated and claim little to no preparation.  There are 19 readers of A2Y. No more, no less. All of them, except maybe one, are juvenile in nature.  Reminding them of that in the comment section will only encourage them to prove that. Your suggestions and critiques are welcome: wphoulihan@gmail.com