Kukla's Korner

Abel to Yzerman

GDT - Game # 63:  Red Wings at Predators (8:00)

Detroit travels to Nashville tonite after beating the Kings at the JLA Friday, 2-1, behind an improbable performance by Ozzie who stopped 30 of 31 shots (0.967). DET is only 3 points behind SJS for 1st in Conference.  NSH sits 11th in Conference, but only 1 point out of a playoff spot.  DET is looking for their third straight win over NSH.  NSH is trying to match a season-high fourth straight win.  DET is 9-2-1 since their 5 game skid in January.  It has been noted by the Diggers this week that Conks is to start tonight.  NSH is offensively challenged, averaging 2.37 g/g (29), and their PP is an anemic 13.6%. However, NSH have held opponents without a single power-play goal in seven of their last eight games.

Standings:

DET:  62 g/p 41 13 8 90 pts (2 in Conf, 1 in Central), 234 gf, 179 ga, Last 10 7-2-1, Streak Won 2

NSH:  62 g/p 30 28 4 64 pts (11 in Conf, 4 in Central), 151 gf, 172 ga, Last 10 5-4-1, Streak Won 3

Stats (rank):

DET:  .726 win% (3), 3.68 g/g (1), 2.86 ga/g (18), 1.34 5-5 f/a (2), 27.6 pp (1) ,77.5 pk (28), 36.1 s/g (1), 27.9 sa/g (5), 55.7 fo% (1).

NSH:  .516 win% (23), 2.37 g/g (29), 2.73 ga/g (9), 0.89 5-5 f/a (23), 13.6 pp (29), 83.9 pk (4) 29.2 s/g (18), 29.2 sa/g (10), 53.2 fo% (3).

Player Stats:
DET Skaters
Player GP G A PTS +/-
Pavel Datsyuk 61 25 50 75 30
Marian Hossa 61 34 27 61 17
Henrik Zetterberg 57 24 32 56 17
Brian Rafalski 62 8 43 51 14
Jiri Hudler 62 20 29 49 6
Nicklas Lidstrom 59 12 32 44 24
Johan Franzen 51 25 14 39 12
Niklas Kronwall 60 2 36 38 -1
Mikael Samuelsson 61 16 20 36 5
Daniel Cleary 54 12 21 33 7
Valtteri Filppula 62 6 25 31 12
Tomas Holmstrom 40 14 16 30 16
Kris Draper 61 5 9 14 -10
Tomas Kopecky 59 4 9 13 0
Brett Lebda 48 5 8 13 8
Andreas Lilja 59 2 11 13 16
Kirk Maltby 58 5 6 11 -5
Ville Leino 12 5 4 9 7
Brad Stuart 47 1 7 8 5
Derek Meech 29 2 3 5 -6
Darren Helm 15 0 1 1 -5
Darren McCarty 13 1 0 1 -2
Justin Abdelkader 2 0 0 0 0
Chris Chelios 20 0 0 0 3
Aaron Downey 1 0 0 0 0

DET Goalies
Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT
Chris Osgood 32 19 5 7 3.22 .883
Ty Conklin 31 22 7 1 2.28 .918
Jimmy Howard 1 0 1 0 4.07 .857

NSH Skaters
Player GP G A PTS +/-
J.P. Dumont 62 12 33 45 3
Jason Arnott 56 23 19 42 2
Martin Erat 59 14 25 39 -11
Shea Weber 61 16 20 36 4
David Legwand 62 16 18 34 -7
Ryan Suter 62 4 28 32 -7
Dan Hamhuis 62 3 18 21 -8
Joel Ward 59 10 11 21 3
Radek Bonk 56 7 13 20 -5
Vernon Fiddler 58 8 5 13 -9
Ryan Jones 34 5 8 13 -1
Jordin Tootoo 52 4 7 11 -10
Steve Sullivan 21 4 6 10 -2
Scott Nichol 27 3 6 9 2
Jerred Smithson 62 3 6 9 -7
Greg Zanon 62 3 6 9 3
Kevin Klein 43 4 4 8 -3
Ville Koistinen 30 2 6 8 -3
Patric Hornqvist 20 2 5 7 -2
Antti Pihlstrom 39 1 4 5 -1
Greg de Vries 51 1 4 5 -15
Wade Belak 47 0 1 1 -1
Mike Santorelli 6 0 0 0 -4
Alexander Sulzer 2 0 0 0 0

NSH Goalies
Player GPI W L OT GAA PCT
Pekka Rinne 34 19 10 1   2.21 .923
Dan Ellis 33 11 18 3 2.93 .899

Injury Report:
DET:
Tomas Holmstrom (RW/LW) Sports hernia (Early March)
Marian Hossa (RW) Neck injury (Day to day)
Brett Lebda (D) Back injury (Sidelined indefinitely)

NSH:
Scott Nichol (C/RW) Concussion (Sidelined indefinitely)
Radek Bonk (C) Upper body injury (Mid-March)
Alexander Sulzer (D) Left shoulder injury (Late February)

Hot and Not:
DET:
Brian Rafalski (D) 14 pts in last 11 GP
Kris Draper (C) 3 pts in last 2 GP
Henrik Zetterberg (C) 7 pts in last 5 GP
Ville Leino (W/C) 4 pts in last 3 GP
Tomas Kopecky (W/C) 3 pts in last 3 GP
Ty Conklin (G) 2-0-0, 1.50, .951 in last 2 GPI

NOT:
Mikael Samuelsson (RW) 0 pts in last 6 GP
Jiri Hudler (RW/LW) 0 pts in last 4 GP
Valtteri Filppula (C/W) 1 pts in last 4 GP
Chris Osgood (G) 4-2-2, 3.19, .881 in last 8 GPI

Jeff Sagarin NHL ratings: from USAToday.com

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL .25 goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by .57 goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .42 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89

NHL 2008-2009 through games of 2009 February 26 Thursday
HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.34 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
2 Detroit Red Wings     =  4.92   41 21   4.06(  12)  13   7 |  23 11 |  4.89   2 |  4.95   3
19 Nashville Predators   =  3.90   30 32   4.06(  10)  9 14 |  16 19 |  3.98   15 |  3.81   20

The Gameday Preview from John Glennon at The Tennessean:

The Predators have won three straight games and are 10-5-1 since the NHL All-Star break. Nashville has scored a combined nine goals in its last two games after posting just seven in its previous five. The Predators have surrendered a combined seven power-play goals in their last two games against Detroit. After Friday’s 2-1 win against Los Angeles, the Red Wings are 4-1 in their last five games. The Wings are averaging a league-best 3.7 goals per game. Forward Pavel Datsyuk leads Detroit with 75 points (25 goals, 50 assists).

Who’s hot: Goalie Pekka Rinne is 8-2-0, with a 1.88 goals against average and .939 save percentage in February.

Who’s not: Forward Vern Fiddler has gone 11 games without a point and is minus-five during that stretch.

Red Wings injuries: F Marian Hossa (neck) is doubtful; F Tomas Holmstrom (hernia) is out.

Predators injuries: RW Martin Erat (groin) is probable; C Radek Bonk (upper body), D Alexander Sulzer (shoulder) and C Scott Nichol (concussion) are out.

—JOHN GLENNON

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About Abel to Yzerman

Welcome to Abel to Yzerman, a Red Wing blog since 1977.  No other site on the internet has better-researched, fact-laden and better prepared discussions than A2Y.  Re-phrase: we do little research, find facts and stats highly overrated and claim little to no preparation.  There are 19 readers of A2Y. No more, no less. All of them, except maybe one, are juvenile in nature.  Reminding them of that in the comment section will only encourage them to prove that. Your suggestions and critiques are welcome: wphoulihan@gmail.com

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