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An Interesting Advanced Stat

from Fluto Shinzawa of the Boston Globe,

According to research conducted by Harvard PhD student Stephen Pettigrew, the average NHL goal increases a team’s chance of winning by 17 percent. To that end, Pettigrew, who presented his research at MIT’s Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, concluded that some players have a greater impact on their teams’ likelihood of winning than others.

Loui Eriksson, Pavel Datsyuk, Kyle Okposo, and Daniel Briere are examples of players whose goals — maybe they took place in the third period or overtime — had more than a 17 percent impact on their teams’ wins. In contrast, Antoine Vermette was below the 17 percent threshold. In conclusion, Pettigrew presented Matt Duchene (16-23—39) and Nazem Kadri (15-19—34) as comparable players based on standard statistics.

But based on Pettigrew’s statistic of added goal value, Duchene (plus-40.2 percent) had a bigger impact on win probability than Kadri (minus-42.2 percent), meaning the Colorado center is a better clutch player.

more hockey topics...

Filed in: NHL Teams, | KK Hockey | Permalink
 

Video- Recap Of The 10 NHL On Saturday

In just under five minutes...

 

Filed in: NHL Teams, | KK Hockey | Permalink
 

LeBrun: Avs won’t be trading O’Reilly

Via Pro Hockey Talk's Ryan Dadoun, ESPN's Pierre LeBrun managed to posit a late-night trade deadline scoop, and it comes from the mouth of Colorado Avalanche GM Joe Sakic, discussing a player who won't be in play this year:

[Joe] Sakic and the Avs rarely tip their hand, but it's clear regarding O'Reilly because he has just one more year on his contract after this season and a big decision has to be made this offseason. He either gets signed long-term or he gets traded. O'Reilly's name has been out there in trade rumors all season, but the reality is that it's an offseason decision, not a Monday decision.

"Ryan is part of our core," Sakic said. "My intention is that at the end of the year I want to try and re-sign him. That will be the goal with Ryan. That being said, we're not going to want that same distraction going on all year next season, either. But he's a guy I want to have here. And hopefully we can work something out this summer."

Continued, and there were some...shenanigans...at the end of the Wild's 3-1 win over Colorado on Saturday, with Cody McLeod in the spotlight again...

Filed in: | KK Hockey | Permalink
  Tags: colorado+avalanche, joe+sakic, ryan+o'reilly

Garrioch talks Yandle, Sharp and the Blues

The Ottawa Sun's Bruce Garrioch's second-to-last trade column of the pre-deadline season dovetails nicely with Sportsnet's Cox and Friedman's Headlines and the Columbus Dispatch's Aaron Portzline's most recent Tweets about the Bruins having interest in Cam Atkinson. So:

Talks have heated up for Arizona defenceman Keith Yandle because teams see the possibility they can have him for two playoff runs before he becomes a UFA. There’s a belief the Detroit Red Wings, who have been looking for a blueliner all year, are making a hard push on Yandle because he fits the bill to what they’re looking at ... Don’t scoff at those rumours about Chicago centre Patrick Sharp being available. Sure, they’ve been denied in the past, but teams are certainly talking about him and there’s a belief the Capitals are the ones pushing the buttons of Hawks’ GM Stan Bowman to see if they can entice him to make a deal. Sharp’s name is out there. A Sharp deal might make sense in the summer, especially with Patrick Kane gone for three months, but if the Hawks are listening they’re going to have plenty of interest. Sharp would be the kind of guy Ottawa GM Bryan Murray would show interest because he fits the bill of what the Senators want in a top-six forward.

...

St. Louis GM Doug Armstrong is in the category where he’d like to do something before the deadline. It might not be anything major, but the Blues wouldn’t mind adding some forward depth. He made a tour through the New York area last week which had people buzzing. While there are still those who wonder about the club’s goaltending, it appears St. Louis will go into the playoffs with Brian Elliott and give him the chance to prove himself last year after the experiment to get Ryan Miller didn’t work last year. Make no mistake, there’s a lot of pressure and expectations on Armstrong to get past the first round this spring and that’s why the name of centre Patrik Berglund is out there. The issue is he has two years left at $3.7 million and teams aren’t big on term.

Garrioch continues, discussing Curtis Glencross, Atkinson, Erik Cole and the Senators' blueliners...

Filed in: | KK Hockey | Permalink
  Tags: brian+elliott, bryan+murray, chicago+blackhawks, detroit+red+wings, doug+armstrong, keith+yandle, ottawa+senators, patrick+kane, patrick+sharp, phoenix+coyotes, ryan+miller, st.+louis+blues, stan+bowman

Video- You Make The Call, Toronto/Montreal

 

 

Watch the David Desharnais goal below...

Continue Reading »

Filed in: NHL Teams, Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Maple Leafs, | KK Hockey | Permalink
  Tags: david+desharnais

Ready For More Mike Babcock To Toronto?

from Steve Simmons of the Toronto Sun,

Until Mike Babcock commits to the Detroit Red Wings going forward, the Maple Leafs are of the belief there remains a considerable chance he will be their coach next season.

They are of the mind — and you can doubt this all you want, and I have — that in Babcock’s world of decision making it’s Detroit first, Toronto second, everywhere else after that.

The notion that Babcock wants no part of a rebuild is dismissed by MLSE upper sources. They believe Babcock has the mentality of a mountain climber. He loves the great challenge. And this is comparable to being at the base of the impossible mountain.

“This is a man who loves challenges,” said an MLSE source. “What challenge in hockey is bigger than this?”

continued plus more topics...

Filed in: NHL Teams, Detroit Red Wings, Toronto Maple Leafs, | KK Hockey | Permalink
  Tags: mike+babcock

Antoine Vermette Traded To Chicago

added 9:38pm,

 

added 9:39pm,

 

That's Klas Dahlbeck.

added 10:17pm, Arizona release is below...

Continue Reading »

Filed in: NHL Teams, d, Chicago Blackhawks, | KK Hockey | Permalink
  Tags: antoine+vermette

Pre-trade deadline ‘headlines’ from Cox and Friedman

added 9:31pm, Watch the segment below...


Two days prior to the trade deadline, Sportsnet's Damien Cox and Elliotte Friedman dished trade-related "headlines" during the 2nd intermission of Hockey Night in Canada's Saturday broadcast.

Cox stated that the Maple Leafs may be the most active team at the deadline. They're listening to offers for Jonathan Bernier, emphasis on "listening," but there are teams like San Jose, Dallas perhaps (given that Kari Lehtonen continues to struggle); Olli Jokinen, Korbinian Holzer and David Booth are also possible moves.

Cox wondered whether the Maple Leafs would trade Joffrey Lupul to the Habs, and there is only "very lukewarm interest" there, and the Clarkson deal was going to be more complicated, but the Blue Jackets and Leafs were unable to consummate a larger deal, so they swapped Horton for Clarkson.

According to Friedman, Patrick Sharp was not asked for a list of 10 teams to which he would accept a trade within 48 hours of the trade deadline, and because that list wasn't asked for before 3 PM on Saturday, he's going nowhere; he also reports that Mats Zuccarello and the Rangers are at contract loggerheads, and the Rangers offered 6 years at $4.5 million on average, so he's being shopped, but the Rangers are not allowing would-be suitors to discuss a contract with Zuccarello before making trade offers;

Jeff Petry's not playing tonight for Edmonton and Montreal, Anaheim and St. Louis have been rumored; Friedman wonders if the Blues have considered moving Vladimir Sobotka to help the team despite Sobotka's status as a KHL'er;

Continue Reading »

Filed in: | KK Hockey | Permalink
  Tags: antoine+vermette, buffalo+sabres, calgary+flames, chicago+blackhawks, chris+stewart, columbus+blue+jackets, curtis+glencross, david+booth, david+clarkson, edmonton+oilers, jeff+petry, joffrey+lupul, jonathan+bernier, keith+yandle, korbinian+holzer, mark+pysyk, mats+zuccarello, nathan+horton, new+york+rangers, olli+jokinen, patrick+sharp, phoenix+coyotes, st.+louis+blues, ted+nolan, tim+murray, toronto+maple+leafs, vladimir+sobotka

Video- Coach’s Corner Tonight

The segment started with Cherry pointing out teams are laughing at the Leafs.

Then the problem with nets tipping over.

The main topic discussed by Don Cherry and Ron MacLean was star players getting injured and nobody riding shotgun for them.

Of course there were other topics too, watch the segment.

 

Filed in: NHL Teams, NHL Media, Hockey Broadcasting, CBC HNIC, | KK Hockey | Permalink
  Tags: don+cherry, ron+maclean

The Los Angeles Kings Are Still Fighting For A Playoff Spot

from Rich Hammond of the Orange County Register,

Life is tough in the NHL. The Kings’ recent eight-game win streak did little more than get their heads above turbulent water in the Western Conference playoff race. Now the Kings have to start swimming.

With 21 games remaining in the regular season, the Kings are fighting simply to make the postseason. They did it to themselves, largely because of an awful January. The good feelings built up during the winning streak have now dissipated after consecutive losses to Ottawa and the Ducks.

The Kings, who play Sunday afternoon in Winnipeg, suddenly find themselves back in regroup mode.

“We’ve just got to keep winning,” defenseman Matt Greene said. “I think we’ve got ourselves in a position where we’re back in the hunt. Now we can’t let our foot off the gas. These last two games haven’t been to the level that they were at and we’ve got to get back to that level in a hurry here with two more on the road.”

Kings captain Dustin Brown laughed sardonically after Friday night’s 4-2 loss to the Ducks when a media member asked him about consistency issues. An eight-game win streak is fairly consistent, indeed.

continued

Filed in: NHL Teams, Los Angeles Kings, | KK Hockey | Permalink
 

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About Kukla's Korner Hockey

Paul Kukla founded Kukla’s Korner in 2005 and the site has since become the must-read site on the ‘net for all the latest happenings around the NHL.

From breaking news to in-depth stories around the league, KK Hockey is updated with fresh stories all day long and will bring you the latest news as quickly as possible.

Email Paul anytime at pk@kuklaskorner.com

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