Kukla's Korner Hockey
by Paul on 03/28/12 at 09:48 PM ET
from Brad Weimer of CSNBayArea,
Let’s start at the beginning—since this playoff format was introduced in 1994, teams seeded 7 or 8 (where the Sharks will probably be if they don’t win the division) have only made it out of the first round 35.2% of the time. Yep, that’s it. Now that’s a lot greater percentage than the NBA (teams seeded 6-8 only have a winning percentage of 13.9% during that same period) but still not exactly good odds of just making it past the opening round.
By contrast the teams with the 3 seed have made it out of the first round 64.7% of the time. That is almost double. It doesn’t get much better as we move forward.
Now we know what you’re saying, “The Sharks goal isn’t just to get out of the first round, it’s to win a Stanley Cup.” THAT is where the numbers get even worse for the lower seeded teams.
PERCENTAGE OF TEAMS TO MAKE CONFERENCE FINALS (since 1994)
3rd Seed: 26.4%
7-8 Seeds: 8.8%
With LESS chances (there are only two 3 seeds per year vs. four 7-8 seeded teams) the 3 seeds make the conference finals over THREE TIMES as much as teams seeded 7 or 8.
PERCENTAGE OF TEAMS TO MAKE STANLEY CUP FINALS (since 1994)
3rd Seed: 14.7%
7-8 Seeds: 7.3%
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