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San Jose Favored for Game 7

Sports Interaction has set the odds for Detroit at San Jose tomorrow.

Moneyline
• Detroit   +105
• San Jose   -125

Over/Under
• Over +5.5 -105
• Under +5.5 -115

Filed in: NHL Teams, Detroit Red Wings, San Jose Sharks, NHL Talk, NHL Playoff Talk, | KK Hockey | Permalink
 

Comments

mrfluffy's avatar

San Jose Favored for Game 7

Yeah that’s nice.

Who do you want, Alanah?

Posted by mrfluffy from Long Beach on 05/11/11 at 03:45 PM ET

Alanah McGinley's avatar

Who do you want, Alanah?

That’s a loaded question, isn’t it??  If I say “San Jose”, then I’m supporting the Dark Side. But if I say Detroit, then you assume I think the Canucks will have it easier against the Wings!!  (And that’s just jinxing my team, too.)

How about this:  I hope that game 7 goes through 4 extra OT periods… and after that time, as they all lay battered and bruised on the ice, I say:  “May the best team win!” wink

Posted by Alanah McGinley from British Columbia on 05/11/11 at 03:51 PM ET

phillyd's avatar

Actually, if you believe in trends, things are looking good for Detroit. They are the 8th team to come back and force a game 7 after being down 3-0:

1939 - NYR comes back versus Boston, Boston wins series
1942 - Toronto comes back versus Detroit, Toronto wins series
1945 - Detroit comes back versus Toronto, Toronto wins series
1975 - NYI come back versus Pittsburg, NYI wins series
1975 - NYI come back versus Philadelphia, Philadelphia wins series
2010 - Philadelphia comes back versus Boston, Philadelphia wins series
2011 - Chicago comes back versus Vancouver, Vancouver wins series
2011 - Detroit comes back versus San Jose, ????

It’s gone every other one that have gotten this far and with Chicago losing last round, this should mean Detroit wins this one. Also, this series I think is very similar to the Philly/Boston one from last year. No team has really dominated the series and a lot of these games could have gone either way.

Posted by phillyd from Southern New Jersey on 05/11/11 at 03:58 PM ET

J.J. from Kansas's avatar

Not a horrible stretch for oddsmakers to favor the home team in a game seven.

Posted by J.J. from Kansas on 05/11/11 at 04:04 PM ET

blammo's avatar

Wow! Really. As a somewhat unbiased observer, I would take those odds.

History is on the Wing’s side.

Either way, I hope they beat the crap out of each other.

Posted by blammo from Vancouver, BC on 05/11/11 at 04:10 PM ET

Nathan's avatar

History is only on the Wings’ side if you believe in fate and that the patterns must repeat themselves. Otherwise, probability based on historical outcomes is on the Sharks’ side.

Personally, I don’t believe in either. The only thing the historical outcomes show is that it is very difficult to win four straight games in the playoffs, regardless of the specific opponent. But with that said, the fact the Sharks were up 3-0, the fact the Wings are now on a three game winning streak, the facts about previous 3-0 to 3-3 series… it’s all irrelevant to how this upcoming game will be played and how it will play out. There is no relationship.

Favoring the home team by a bit to win a game 7 is reasonable, any way you slice it.

The only relationship between the past and present that I’m buying in regards to this game 7 is the one that shows a history of this same core of Sharks clamming up when the pressure is on, and the one that shows a history of this same core of Wings competing their hardest when the pressure is on.

But even those aren’t based on some exact science and mathematical probabilities… it’s based on what we all THINK we know about the psychological makeup of the majority of the players on these two clubs.

Posted by Nathan from the scoresheet! on 05/11/11 at 04:18 PM ET

NIVO's avatar

who had the 7 or 8 day rest of the two teams between them? Who has one of the best players in the game just hitting his stride after coming back from injury(hint: #40)? Who has momentum and experience in more game 7’s?

I LIKE THE ODDS!

Posted by NIVO from underpants gnome village on 05/11/11 at 04:29 PM ET

Nate A's avatar

The only thing the historical outcomes show is that it is very difficult to win four straight games in the playoffs

Hey, they did it last series.

Posted by Nate A from Detroit-ish on 05/11/11 at 04:41 PM ET

mrfluffy's avatar

Alanah, nah. Was honestly just curious to see who you wanted to move on.

Posted by mrfluffy from Long Beach on 05/11/11 at 05:02 PM ET

Alanah McGinley's avatar

Then I’ll say “Detroit.”  But I’ll admit, I’m kinda feeling a tiny bit sorry for San Jose… their playoff history is getting a bit tragic!

Posted by Alanah McGinley from British Columbia on 05/11/11 at 05:05 PM ET

CaptainDennisPolonich's avatar

History is only on the Wings’ side if you believe in fate and that the patterns must repeat themselves. Otherwise, probability based on historical outcomes is on the Sharks’ side.

Posted by Nathan from the scoresheet! on 05/11/11 at 02:18 PM ET

History is definitely on the Sharks side:

In 5 of those 7 instances, the lower seed came back to force a Game 7 on their opponent’s ice. But only 2 of those 5 won Game 7.

Of those seven Game 7’s, the road team won 3 and lost 4.

The odds still favor the fish and all of the pressure is on them. While the Wings are still the under dogs, they’re playing with house money now.

Posted by CaptainDennisPolonich from The Land of Fake Boobs and Real Nuts on 05/11/11 at 05:10 PM ET

calquake's avatar

Odds, smodds… the winner of Game 7 will be the team that makes the fewest mistakes while playing with the biggest hearts.  I like our chances.

Posted by calquake on 05/11/11 at 06:27 PM ET

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