from Tyler Dellow of Sportsnet,
If you want to succeed in a hockey pool, you need to find players who put up more points than your competition expects. One way to go about that is to take advantage of the fact that people have a tendency to weight recent performance too heavily and fail to consider whether a player has benefited from unusually good or bad luck in achieving his results.
Hockey analytics has come up with a number of tools that can be employed to help determine just that—and whether a player’s most recent season causes him to be overvalued or undervalued come draft day. We’ll look at these tools in the context of forwards at even strength (5v5).
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