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Abel to Yzerman

The NHL Draft Lottery Is April 9th

NEW YORK (March 13, 2019) – The National Hockey League announced that the 2019 NHL Draft Lottery will be held Tuesday, April 9, in Toronto. The results of the Draft Lottery will be revealed live by national rightsholders NBCSN, Sportsnet and TVA Sports during a one-hour show beginning at 8 p.m., ET.

The 2019 NHL Draft Lottery will consist of three drawings: the 1st Lottery Draw will determine the club selecting first overall, the 2nd Lottery Draw will determine the club selecting second overall and the 3rd Lottery Draw will determine the club selecting third overall.

The 15 clubs that do not qualify for the 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs – or the clubs that have acquired the first-round picks of those non-playoff clubs – will participate in the 2019 NHL Draft Lottery.

Non-Playoff Team
(Fewest Points to Most)
2019 Odds
(Unchanged From 2018)
1 18.5%
2 13.5%
3 11.5%
4 9.5%
5 8.5%
6 7.5%
7 6.5%
8 6.0%
9 5.0%
10 3.5%
11 3.0%
12 2.5%
13 2.0%
14 1.5%
15 1.0%

 

The odds for the remaining teams will increase on a proportionate basis for the 2nd Lottery Draw, based on which club wins the 1st Lottery Draw, and again for the 3rd Lottery Draw, based on which club wins the 2nd Lottery Draw.

The 12 clubs not selected in the 2019 NHL Draft Lottery will be assigned 2019 NHL Draft selections 4 through 15, in inverse order of regular-season points.

More details about the 2019 NHL Draft Lottery will be announced at a later date.

The 2019 NHL Draft will take place at Rogers Arena in Vancouver. The first round will be held Friday, June 21. Rounds 2-7 will take place Saturday, June 22.

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Comments

Paul's avatar

Any guaranteed lucky charms?

Posted by Paul from Motown Area on 03/13/19 at 07:23 PM ET

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Any guaranteed lucky charms?

Posted by Paul from Motown Area on 03/13/19 at 07:23 PM ET

The Edmonton Oilers?

Posted by howeandhowe from Seattle on 03/13/19 at 07:43 PM ET

bigfrog's avatar

Remember Bettman controls the draft, so you probably know what to expect for the Red Wings positioning. Nothing good.  mad

Posted by bigfrog on 03/13/19 at 07:46 PM ET

The Meal's avatar

http://www.tankathon.com/nhl

Posted by The Meal from Firestone, CO on 03/13/19 at 07:48 PM ET

Paul's avatar

One thing I can say BF is you are consistent.

You’ve been beating that drum for years.

Posted by Paul from Motown Area on 03/13/19 at 07:48 PM ET

bigfrog's avatar

One thing I can say BF is you are consistent.

You’ve been beating that drum for years.

True Paul, but you have to admit some strange (bad) things have been happening to the Red Wings over the years. 1) Being stuck in the Western Conference for several seasons, 2) 2009. Need I say more? , and 3) drafting lower than where they finished. Too many “Coincidences”. mad

Posted by bigfrog on 03/13/19 at 08:06 PM ET

Paul's avatar

I hear you BF.

Posted by Paul from Motown Area on 03/13/19 at 08:08 PM ET

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Any guaranteed lucky charms?

Please not those Rosary Beads again…

Funny, I instantly thought of and checked out tankathon before reading the comments. Detroit 4 out of 8 draws at #1. Obviously doesn’t mean a damn thing but ill take it.

 

 

Posted by VFUSION on 03/13/19 at 08:21 PM ET

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Have to say it seems wings get more than their share of bad luck from the league.

Posted by teldar on 03/13/19 at 09:06 PM ET

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What is the rule on dropping down? A team can’t drop more than 2 or 3 spots in the draft from their standings position?

Funny, I instantly thought of and checked out tankathon before reading the comments. Detroit 4 out of 8 draws at #1. Obviously doesn’t mean a damn thing but ill take it.

Posted by VFUSION on 03/13/19 at 08:21 PM ET

What’s not funny is that when I do it, Wings consistently come up 4th, which probably answers my question from above, it’s 2 spots.

Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 08:07 AM ET

The Meal's avatar

Three teams will “win” the draft lottery, and if all three of those teams have a worse initial draft position than “your” team, then your team can lose three spots from it’s initial spot.

So if Detroit finishes in 2nd-to-worst place, the worst of their draft positions would be #5.  And surprisingly, that’s the most likely scenario (three other teams jump ahead of the Wings), so temper your expectations accordingly.

Posted by The Meal from Firestone, CO on 03/14/19 at 08:25 AM ET

The Meal's avatar

Actually my post above this one is wrong.  Detroit’s most likely outcome is to finish in 4th place in the draft (on the tankathon link, click on the Pick Odds tab to see).

Detroit 1st (13.5%); 2nd (13.0%); 3rd (12.3%); 4th (33.3%); 5th (27.9%).

Compare to Ottawa: 1st (18.5%); 2nd (16.5%); 3rd (14.4%); 4th (50.6%).

And just to pick a spot in the middle of the lottery pack, Buffalo:
1st (5.0%); 2nd (5.3%); 3rd (5.7%); 9th (48.8%); 10th (30.7%); 11th (4.3%); 12th (0.1%)

The worst lottery picking team (currently Montreal):
1st (1.0%); 2nd (1.1%); 3rd (1.2%); 15th (96.7%)

Note that this page does not account for the 100% chance Edmonton actually has for getting the first overall pick.  So there are shortcomings.

Posted by The Meal from Firestone, CO on 03/14/19 at 08:30 AM ET

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Note that this page does not account for the 100% chance Edmonton actually has for getting the first overall pick.  So there are shortcomings.

Posted by The Meal from Firestone, CO on 03/14/19 at 08:30 AM ET

If Edmonton wins the lottery again, there is definitely shenanigans going on

Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 08:32 AM ET

damndog revenge   From the bowels of Detroit's avatar

2) 2009. Need I say more? ,

Posted by bigfrog on 03/13/19 at 08:06 PM ET

That was pretty blatant. I am with you.


But, Remember the Third Law of Motion, anytime you push to hard you get the opposite effect. I think we all need to sit in lotus position during the draft and concentrate on “OM.”  grin

Posted by damndog revenge From the bowels of Detroit on 03/14/19 at 09:01 AM ET

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Didn’t we send Draper to the last lottery? Maybe this time we can send Maltby, our excellent pro scout. Isn’t Cleary on the payroll as well? Quality front office. Solid resumes.

Posted by rogerrab on 03/14/19 at 09:37 AM ET

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Didn’t we send Draper to the last lottery? Maybe this time we can send Maltby, our excellent pro scout. Isn’t Cleary on the payroll as well? Quality front office. Solid resumes.

Posted by rogerrab on 03/14/19 at 09:37 AM ET

Why? Because being average at one thing, implies being average at another thing?
Yeah that makes sense.

Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 09:45 AM ET

Primis's avatar

Any time I sim a few times with the Lottery not only does DET not get the top pick, they more often than not end up down at like #5 or #6.

So my expectations are pretty much nill.

NJ gets #1 a weird amount of times though.

Posted by Primis on 03/14/19 at 10:05 AM ET

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Why? Because being average at one thing, implies being average at another thing?
Yeah that makes sense.
Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 09:45 AM ET

I don’t care how they performed as hockey players, tell me how they have performed in their actual managerial roles?

For example, Maltby was given the Pro Scout job after retiring. He had no experience as a scout at any level. Yet here is giving advice to Holland about players around the NHL. Have we made any great free agent signings during Maltby’s tenure? Did you like Nielsen, Daley, Vanek, Bernier, etc…? What players have we added via trade? Anyone of significance? OK maybe Maltby has awesome ideas and Holland just ignores him. This is possible. But it seems more likely that Maltby is in over his head.

As for Draper, he’s Holland’s assistant. Given the job right after he retired without any formal experience. How have Draper and Holland performed over the last 7 years?

Posted by rogerrab on 03/14/19 at 10:08 AM ET

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Posted by rogerrab on 03/14/19 at 10:08 AM ET

Is there a pro-scouting university somewhere that Maltby needed a degree from? A lot of scouts are former players, they know what to look for. And what does that have to do with free agent signings? Nielsen and Daley all are accomplished players before signing with Detroit, same with Vanek.
Players via trade? Why? When you’re rebuilding, they’ve stockpiled draft pics.

As for Draper, he’s Holland’s assistant. Given the job right after he retired without any formal experience. How have Draper and Holland performed over the last 7 years?

So was Yzerman, he also had no managerial experience.

Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 10:15 AM ET

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Is there a pro-scouting university somewhere that Maltby needed a degree from? A lot of scouts are former players, they know what to look for. And what does that have to do with free agent signings? Nielsen and Daley all are accomplished players before signing with Detroit, same with Vanek.
Players via trade? Why? When you’re rebuilding, they’ve stockpiled draft pics.
Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 10:15 AM ET

Yes many scouts happen to be former players. But many of them also happen to gain some experience at lower levels. A guy like Mark Hunter for example gained experience running a successful CHL team for many years before making the move to the NHL. Not Maltby. Gifted a job from day one.

What exactly are you asking about Nielsen and Daley and Vanek? The primary role of a PRO scout is to provide insight regarding free agent signings and trades. As a pro scout, did he warn that Nielsen’s stats were inflated by playing on the PP with Tavares? Did he warn that Daley’s speed was in serious decline? Did he identify Bernier as the top free agent goalie when guys like Lehner, Halak, Hutton were also options?

No evidence that Maltby has excelled in this role. But it’s been 9 years and counting now…

 

Posted by rogerrab on 03/14/19 at 10:56 AM ET

ilovehomers's avatar

Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 10:15 AM ET

Its FatSavage, best to not engage

Posted by ilovehomers on 03/14/19 at 10:59 AM ET

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Posted by rogerrab on 03/14/19 at 10:56 AM ET

You do realize that Maltby isn’t the only Pro Scout for the Red Wings? There are 5 or 6 of them, with Mark Howe being the top one. But I guess he is dumpster fire too, since he is Maltby’s direct boss.

Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 11:08 AM ET

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You do realize that Maltby isn’t the only Pro Scout for the Red Wings? There are 5 or 6 of them, with Mark Howe being the top one. But I guess he is dumpster fire too, since he is Maltby’s direct boss.
Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 11:08 AM ET

Yes. Mark Howe, Maltby, and 3 guys that are like 70 years old. Have you ever watched Moneyball? That’s us. Hopefully a new GM cleans house because our pro scouting has been awful for quite a long time. Such a long list of poor free agent signings and lack of adding talent via trade.

Posted by rogerrab on 03/14/19 at 11:35 AM ET

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Yes. Mark Howe, Maltby, and 3 guys that are like 70 years old. Have you ever watched Moneyball? That’s us. Hopefully a new GM cleans house because our pro scouting has been awful for quite a long time. Such a long list of poor free agent signings and lack of adding talent via trade.

Posted by rogerrab on 03/14/19 at 11:35 AM ET

Yeah a bunch of 70 some year olds.

Mark Howe - Director of Pro Scouting - 63 years old
Glenn Merkosky - Pro Scout - 58 years old
Bruce Haralson - Pro Scout - don’t know how old he is. He might actually be 70
Kirk Maltby - Pro Scout - 46 years old
Archie Henderson - Pro Scout - 62 years old

I’m done with you

Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 11:46 AM ET

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Yeah a bunch of 70 some year olds.

hy·per·bo·le
/hīˈpərbəlē/Submit
noun
exaggerated statements or claims not meant to be taken literally.

How about becoming proficient at the English language rather than taking a clear exaggeration at face value?

Posted by CharDeeMacDennis on 03/14/19 at 11:51 AM ET

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Yeah a bunch of 70 some year olds.

hy·per·bo·le
/hīˈpərbəlē/Submit
noun
exaggerated statements or claims not meant to be taken literally.

How about becoming proficient at the English language rather than taking a clear exaggeration at face value?

Posted by CharDeeMacDennis on 03/14/19 at 11:51 AM ET

Thanks, I’ll get right on that.

That was sarcasm, in case you didn’t get it.

Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 11:54 AM ET

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Thanks, I’ll get right on that.

Don’t bother, ignorance suits you.

That was sarcasm, in case you didn’t get it.

Get what?

Posted by CharDeeMacDennis on 03/14/19 at 12:11 PM ET

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OK my bad. It’s Mark Howe, Maltby, and rather than a bunch of guys in their 70s…I should have said one guy who is 58, another who is 62, and another who appears to be 100 years old and was working for Pittsburgh when they drafted Mario Lemieux.

The point is, this does not appear to be the best pro scouting staff in the NHL. Not anywhere close. Time for some fresh blood. I remember reading once that one of these guys played on the same hockey team as Holland did growing up. I’m sure that was a vigorous hiring process…

Posted by rogerrab on 03/14/19 at 12:11 PM ET

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Don’t bother, ignorance suits you.

That was sarcasm, in case you didn’t get it.

Get what?

Posted by CharDeeMacDennis on 03/14/19 at 12:11 PM ET

You’re right, I ignore idiots.

Posted by George0211 on 03/14/19 at 12:12 PM ET

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About Abel to Yzerman

Welcome to Abel to Yzerman, a Red Wing blog since 1977.  No other site on the internet has better-researched, fact-laden and better prepared discussions than A2Y.  Re-phrase: we do little research, find facts and stats highly overrated and claim little to no preparation.  There are 19 readers of A2Y. No more, no less. All of them, except maybe one, are juvenile in nature.  Reminding them of that in the comment section will only encourage them to prove that. Your suggestions and critiques are welcome: wphoulihan@gmail.com