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Abel to Yzerman

The Good In A Very Bad Season

Jared Clinton of The Hockey News points out the bad, the very bad but I an concentrating on the good...

...in the interest of looking on the bright side and attempting not to pile on during what has already been an incredibly difficult season for the Red Wings faithful, we feel the need to point out that there have been a few positives. Here are five silver linings:

1. TOP LOTTERY ODDS
Not since 1986 have the Red Wings had the first-overall pick in the draft and the last time Detroit picked in the top three was at the 1990 draft. That could change this season. While the draft lottery doesn’t promise the league’s last-place team anything, the Red Wings would have a nearly 50-percent chance at finishing with a top-three selection and an 18.5-percent chance of landing the first-overall pick if they finished dead-last. But there’s good news here just about any way you slice it. If the Red Wings fail to secure the first-overall pick, they’re doing so ahead of a draft that is considered one of the deepest in recent memory with a uber-skilled projected one-two of Alexis Lafreniere and Quinton Byfield.

2. OPPORTUNITY, OPPORTUNITY, OPPORTUNITY
The lack of pressure, and lack of expectation, has opened up plenty of opportunity for younger players to come into the lineup and prove their worth. No player has done more with the chances they’ve been afforded than Filip Hronek. Drafted 53rd overall in 2016, he wasn’t considered one of Detroit’s blue-chippers, but there looks to be plenty of potential and upside in the 22-year-old rearguard. He’s been productive offensively – his 13 points put him fifth in team scoring – and he’s averaging 23 minutes per game, more than any other blueliner.

much more

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Comments

TreKronor's avatar

ahead of a draft that is considered one of the deepest in recent memory

I feel like this is said every year.

projected one-two of Alexis Lafreniere and Quinton Byfield

And it’s probably not too soon until we hear some media-types begin describing one of these guys as a “Generational Talent”.

Posted by TreKronor on 12/03/19 at 01:40 PM ET

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It’s true, every year they talk about how the draft is “one of the deepest on memory”.  Apparently memory doesn’t go back any further than last week. It’s all a lot of hot air.

Posted by MikeO on 12/03/19 at 03:11 PM ET

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If there was a time to pull the trigger on remaining vets on expiring
contracts, it’s likely passed.

If Green is healthy and actually producing some points,
maybe he yields a mid-round pick.

Daley and Ericsson are not going to get a 7th rounder
at this point.

The veterans on long-term pricey deals have predictably not bounced back.
It’s not worth paying other teams assets to take them. And buying them out
mostly just doubles the duration of cap liability.

Maybe Helm can be moved for a pick if some salary is retained.

The most interesting thing about the Wings roster right now might be how many restricted free agents there are. Guys like Erne and Perlini who are still young but haven’t gotten any traction so far.

Posted by lefty.30 on 12/03/19 at 03:12 PM ET

d ca's avatar

Alexis Lafreniere Is not being described as a generational talent. In fact it’s the opposite:

” ...doesn’t necessarily possess elite skill in any single category but is very good to great in so many of them that the total package simply can’t miss.”

But the point missed in the article is that one more year is burned on Holland’s bad contracts (Errorsson’s & Daley’s are done, Abbie’s goes down to 3, Nielsen’s & DeKeyser’s to 2, and Helm’s and Weiss’ to 1). Should have plenty to re-sign the RFA’s and enough to take a run at 28 year old Hall if he is available or even bring in a bad contract for a draft pick.

Posted by d ca on 12/04/19 at 05:16 AM ET

RWBill's avatar

lol, for those chomping at the buy-out table, look above at the “Weiss” comment.

Posted by RWBill on 12/04/19 at 12:02 PM ET

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Should have plenty to re-sign the RFA’s and enough to take a run at 28 year old Hall

That’s some wishful thinking. Why would Hall after missing out on the postseason for so much of his career decide to sign in Detroit. There is bound to be a much more competitive team interested in his services.

Plus, Hall is likely to be traded this season and probably re-signed by the team that trades for him. Detroit is in no position to give up any assets to get him.

Finally, while Hall would definitely be a nice addition, what they really need is more defense. Too bad those defenders rarely make it to free agency.

Posted by evileye on 12/04/19 at 01:05 PM ET

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lol, for those chomping at the buy-out table, look above at the “Weiss” comment.

Posted by RWBill on 12/04/19 at 12:02 PM ET

Obviously hindsight is 20/20, we can look back now and know that buying out Weiss to be able to give out another terrible contract was a terrible plan. Had the circumstances been different and that ~$3.25m/yr allowed them to bring in someone that got them over the hump to make a deep run or two we’d be saying it was great.

That being said, I don’t think this team is currently anywhere near being in a position to buy anyone out and should just ride out the garbage still on the books. They have plenty of cap coming off the books in the next year/years and won’t be in a position to make a FA splash for another year or two anyway.

Posted by MZ2215 on 12/04/19 at 01:34 PM ET

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It makes no sense to exercise the buyout on any of these contracts since the Wings really don’t need the cap space.

The better solution is to waive the player and send them to GR (obviously nobody is going to claim them). That frees up the roster spot for a young player (for example Veleno for Neilsson) without extending the cap hit into more seasons.

Above all else, don’t sign any past-prime veterans to long-term deals. This team should be made up of young players and a few short-term low-contract veterans for the next couple years. Then they should have the cap space to make a big splash when the roster is ready for such an addition.

Posted by evileye on 12/04/19 at 04:12 PM ET

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Welcome to Abel to Yzerman, a Red Wing blog since 1977.  No other site on the internet has better-researched, fact-laden and better prepared discussions than A2Y.  Re-phrase: we do little research, find facts and stats highly overrated and claim little to no preparation.  There are 19 readers of A2Y. No more, no less. All of them, except maybe one, are juvenile in nature.  Reminding them of that in the comment section will only encourage them to prove that. Your suggestions and critiques are welcome: wphoulihan@gmail.com